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Predictions on Discontinuing Sets and their Secondary Market Value

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Comments

  • jnscoelhojnscoelho PortugalMember Posts: 450
    I guess we'll have to wait to know. 
  • milambermilamber Norfolk UKMember Posts: 608
    Not retired in the UK yet. Wish it would :)
  • jnscoelhojnscoelho PortugalMember Posts: 450
    It doesn't say retired, but it's OOS and may not return, as usual during this time of year for many of the sets being retired.
  • PapaBearPapaBear East CoastMember Posts: 408
    The Holiday Train is the worst looking holiday set IMO and I hope it goes.
  • stevemackstevemack 1567km Drive From BillundMember Posts: 901
    I was shocked to see it last this year tbh as the station retired last year
  • flordflord CanadaMember Posts: 704
    It obviously has been selling well.
  • M1J0EM1J0E Calgary, ABMember Posts: 632
    ^ I thought they always generally lasted 2 years & were done.  I wonder about #10263 & thinking we might need to pick that one up before too long to have in the village.  I’m not sure there are many that go into a 3rd season.  Surely the train in season 4 is an anomaly.
    gmonkey76
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,500
    jnscoelho said:
    It doesn't say retired, but it's OOS and may not return, as usual during this time of year for many of the sets being retired.
    If you are speaking of the #10254 Holiday train, in the US it says retired product and had a retiring soon tag on it. It is rare that something retires in the US but not in another region, so it is likely on its last days.

  • LyichirLyichir United StatesMember Posts: 785
    M1J0E said:
    ^ I thought they always generally lasted 2 years & were done.  I wonder about #10263 & thinking we might need to pick that one up before too long to have in the village.  I’m not sure there are many that go into a 3rd season.  Surely the train in season 4 is an anomaly.

    The train and station complementing each other might be part of the reason why the former has stuck around. After all, it might be harder to move copies of the station if there weren't a train available to go with it. I imagine they'll try to retire both of them around the same time.
    M1J0E
  • M1J0EM1J0E Calgary, ABMember Posts: 632
    ^ True, most likely yes.  But I’m sure I never even saw the station in stock this year again.  Which means it’s possible the train outlived it.  
  • milambermilamber Norfolk UKMember Posts: 608
    In the UK the station is definitely retired - last year I think. The Winter Train is still currently going strong. Whilst OOS at Lego online there isn't anything to indicate it's retiring yet. John Lewis, the other official stockist, still have plenty of stock
  • SumoLegoSumoLego New YorkMember Posts: 12,385
    The Station retired late 2018, and the Train was still available up until a few weeks ago.
  • flordflord CanadaMember Posts: 704
    Downtown Diner hasn't retired has it? I ordered it from Amazon when it was on sale, and instead they sent me the Jurassic World Dino Mech set. Of course when I tried to return it, all I could get was my money back because they were out of stock.
  • Baby_YodaBaby_Yoda The world's backsideMember Posts: 1,291
    The set isn't even two years old, and I doubt would retire before Assembly Square. Australian [email protected] has it on backorder, meaning we're still fine, at least.
    madforLEGO
  • M1J0EM1J0E Calgary, ABMember Posts: 632
    Plus they show it on the back of the box of the newest bookshop as well.  Could AS be the next one to retire?  There’s never any guarantees on their timing, but it is the oldest modular left on the market.  BS brought the price point back down much closer to PR, so they no longer need that one as the ‘cheap’ modular.  AS really does serve as a flagship modular though being the most expensive & largest, but also seems to have good popularity.
  • Baby_YodaBaby_Yoda The world's backsideMember Posts: 1,291
    edited December 2019
    After some thought, I think it's a coin toss over whether AS or DD will retire first. I suppose we won't find out for sure until this time next year, given PR is the one making room for BS.

    Edit: I made this post and my last post both at exactly 9:35. Nice.
    M1J0E
  • JudgeChuckJudgeChuck UKMember Posts: 1,131
    I think I've left it too long to get #10257 Carousel, as none seem to be available online or in stores.
    There was some speculation about it a little way up in this thread, but do we have any confirmation as to whether it has retired?
  • DB361DB361 UKMember Posts: 227
    ^ Try Smyths if you have one nearby - not appearing on their website, but there was at least one or two left at Exeter the other day.
  • JudgeChuckJudgeChuck UKMember Posts: 1,131
    Thanks, @DB361 I might have to give it a go.
  • stevemackstevemack 1567km Drive From BillundMember Posts: 901
    edited December 2019
    One in smyths shop about 2 weeks ago near me but it was the battered one no one wanted
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,500
    Interesting 10220 is showing as 'Sold out', While not showing as 'retired product' I wonder if this is panic buying thinking that the VW camper van is gone (as the VW Beetle is also showing as 'sold out'), or is it really gone?
  • SumoLegoSumoLego New YorkMember Posts: 12,385
    I briefly felt the same panic when the Stranger Things set went to 'Out of Stock'.  

    I will say that the Carousel appears to be imminently retiring...
  • JudgeChuckJudgeChuck UKMember Posts: 1,131
    Carousel has gone, I believe. A friend checked for me in the UK Bluewater Lego store, which had none left, and the assistant confirmed that it had retired.
    SumoLego
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,500
    I think the Carousel was listed as retiring soon at some point, but if you check the #10254 holiday train, the minute it sold out its status turned to 'Retired product'. Does that mean the Carousel is coming back? Unlikely, unless only as a brief availability to clear out any remaining stock.
  • Jackad7Jackad7 Wisconsin Member Posts: 508
    I realize the title says sets but can we talk about figures specifically? I've noticed that. a lot of the obscure star wars figures appreciate really nicely and the other day I was just thinking I should scoop up some of the basketball figures that were iconic (shaq kobe etc). Decided against it and kobe is now gone on bricklink in light of his really terrible accident.
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 18,207
    Yeah, Bryant's price and sales volume has rocketed over the past day. Give it a year, and no doubt it will settle back down again. It is strange how people didn't want them a month ago but now do as he has died. It is not like LEGO were ever going to do him again, at least in that way, so his death has probably not changed anything in terms of LEGO.
    madforLEGO
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,883
    I saw that most BL stock was intact early yesterday evening. Thought about it, and decided my soul was worth keeping. 
    Jackad7
  • Jackad7Jackad7 Wisconsin Member Posts: 508
    Yeah I'd bet you're right. There really was no way he was getting another figure regardless. 

    But not to digress too far what are some figures you guys would pick up? For example rebels ahsoka, queen amidala, old watto are all figures that appeared in not very popular sets and appreciated nicely (age helped watto). Just curious if you guys had anything else in mind? I've picked up an extra set of rogue one figures since they were phased out quick and some unique aliens in higher end sets that arent overly special like max rebo from the sail barge.
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 18,207
    The Harry and Ron in their Christmas sweaters might do well. They are cheap and plentiful right now and I doubt they will be redone for a while.
    Jackad7
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