A LEGO House Special Bonusball Edition - 16 November 2019 deadline

Comments

• Speedman29 UKMember Posts: 1,734

  November 2019

  Thanks for hosting. One day I'll get to the House and get my own number and poly, but for now have a couple of randoms

  520474823

  7452510
  

  
  

  0
• historyman Member Posts: 374

  November 2019

  452,278,310
  
  608,329,360

  0
• blade_guy Member Posts: 210

  November 2019

  62,387
  21,324,876

  0
• Mynatt OH/NYMember Posts: 598

  November 2019

  55,555,555 and 555,555,555
  

  0
• sid3windr BelgiumMember Posts: 1,452

  November 2019

  6,060,842 and 797,204 por favor!
  

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• FreePirate FranceMember Posts: 4

  November 2019 edited November 2019

  15,859,874 and 706,587
  

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• alldarker NetherlandsMember Posts: 225

  November 2019

  As usual, I've been collecting all the numbers so far and crunching them a bit. 
  First of all, thank you stlux for hosting this again! I always enjoy your 'guess the combo' give-aways because they deal with numbers, with psychology and with rationality, all at the same time. 
  

  Secondly, I noticed that both @gmonkey76 and @dmcc0 both chose the number 123,456,789. That might make it harder to find a definitive winner... 
  And thirdly, based on all the current numbers I've collected, I am going for numbers 174,566,728 and 379,324,746. 

  

  8
• Brainslugged England (the grim North)Member Posts: 1,522

  November 2019

  I agree with your calculations @alldarker. That means I have no choice but to go with:
  
  153,766,037
  195,367,420
  
  Unfortunately both of these impinge upon your smaller number (but that only goes to show what a great number it was in the first place) so all three numbers now have the same chance of winning. Although I believe your larger number isn't quite most likely to win, as odds-on favourite is currenlty @shikadi.
  
  

  

  7
• alldarker NetherlandsMember Posts: 225

  November 2019

  @Brainslugged: foiled again!!! But yeah, you are absolutely correct on all fronts, and I do agree that @shikadi currently has the best odds of winning. I would have chosen my numbers at a later date and time if my own available time would have permitted, which could have allowed me to choose the 'best' numbers (accounting for odds), but alas... 

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• benbacardi EnglandMember Posts: 656

  November 2019

  Well, I stuck all the numbers so far into a spreadsheet, and chose two numbers that were halfway in the middle of the biggest available gaps:
  
  357,723,713 and 877,485,604
  
  My maths and method may be terrible or incorrect, but it was fun!

  

  3
• CCC UKMember Posts: 19,331

  November 2019

  SumoLego said:

  For me:
  
  641,382,664 ; 235,720,620
  
  

  I'll go for 641,382,663 and 641,382,665.

  
  

  :-)

  
  

  

  13
• dmcc0 Nae far fae AberdeenMember Posts: 778

  November 2019 edited November 2019

  alldarker said:

  ... I noticed that both @gmonkey76 and @dmcc0 both chose the number 123,456,789. 

  Oops.  Didn't see that @gmonkey76 had already picked it (was only a few post before mine too).  I'm sure my other guess will be spot on though :)

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• DoktorL Member Posts: 112

  November 2019

  For me
  

  30,092,003 and 10,021,968

  please.

  Thank you.
  

  0
• shikadi TRU AlumniMember Posts: 117

  November 2019

  
  

  Brainslugged said:

  I agree with your calculations @alldarker. That means I have no choice but to go with:
  
  153,766,037
  195,367,420
  
  Unfortunately both of these impinge upon your smaller number (but that only goes to show what a great number it was in the first place) so all three numbers now have the same chance of winning. Although I believe your larger number isn't quite most likely to win, as odds-on favourite is currenlty @shikadi.
  
  

  I'm impressed with all this effort. My "strategy" was to pick the first two numbers random.org gave me :)
  

  

  2
• SithLord196 Member Posts: 1,160

  November 2019

  I shall go with:
  
  

  478,690,919 and 100,221,811

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• gmonkey76 ChicagoMember Posts: 1,621

  November 2019

  dmcc0 said:

  alldarker said:

  ... I noticed that both @gmonkey76 and @dmcc0 both chose the number 123,456,789. 

  Oops.  Didn't see that @gmonkey76 had already picked it (was only a few post before mine too).  I'm sure my other guess will be spot on though :)

  Sorry just saw this. I'm sure both of mine will be way off. If @dmcc0 wants 123456789 Batman can have it. Never mess with Batman.

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• Modeltrainman In the Disney Infinity Toybox, Windows, or digging through LEGO parts in the USA.Member Posts: 620

  November 2019

  777 and 177,177

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• adiemc UKMember Posts: 526

  November 2019

  21,910,143 and 846,023,199.  Thanks @stlux

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• Bobflip Member Posts: 558

  November 2019

  shikadi said:

  
  

  Brainslugged said:

  I agree with your calculations @alldarker. That means I have no choice but to go with:
  
  153,766,037
  195,367,420
  
  Unfortunately both of these impinge upon your smaller number (but that only goes to show what a great number it was in the first place) so all three numbers now have the same chance of winning. Although I believe your larger number isn't quite most likely to win, as odds-on favourite is currenlty @shikadi.
  
  

  I'm impressed with all this effort. My "strategy" was to pick the first two numbers random.org gave me :)
  

  Hahaha, that's my strategy too. I accidentally generated two, and couldn't decid which one to go for, but then saw that we choose two for this round and all was well in the world again.

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• LittleLori CanadaMember Posts: 154

  November 2019

  For me this time, I pick
  94327196 and
  541889029
  
  Thank you you for hosting @stlux. I enjoy hearing of your travels and it is awesome you can share your bounty.
  

  

  1
• SumoLego New YorkMember Posts: 13,462

  November 2019

  CCC said:

  SumoLego said:

  For me:
  641,382,664
  

  I'll go for 641,382,663 and 641,382,665.

  :-)

  Hmmm... well-played.  I just got Price-As-Right'd!

  

  1
• im2cre8iv Utah, USAMember Posts: 127

  November 2019

  I’m too late, but as the numbers haven’t been revealed hopefully you’ll still accept my guesses!
  
  614,92,683
  123,047,284

  0
• alldarker NetherlandsMember Posts: 225

  November 2019

  I've sent my data file to @stlux, including the last entries from @im2cre8iv. I'm not a judge, so I'll let stlux decide if that's a 'legal' entry or not. Good luck to everyone! 

  

  6
• stlux LuxembourgMember Posts: 2,369

  November 2019

  Thanks to @alldarker for putting together the list, here are the entries (including @im2cre8iv!):
  
  

  @bandit778 1

  @dmcc0 3

  @Tkatt 13

  @KungFuKenny 42

  @CaptainPirateMan 47

  @gmonkey76 426

  @Modeltrainman 777

  @TheOriginalSimonB 25,591

  @blade_guy 62,387

  @klinton 77,777

  @ReesesPieces 91,298

  @milamber 99,000

  @Modeltrainman 177,177

  @msanders 504,333

  @MAGNINOMINISUMBRA 648,793

  @FreePirate 706,587

  @sid3windr 797,204

  @Mr_Cross 1,147,479

  @sid3windr 6,060,842

  @Speedman29 7,452,510

  @COOLEGO 9,834,563

  @DoktorL 10,021,968

  @FowlerBricks 12,093,118

  @msanders 12,453,968

  @FreePirate 15,859,874

  @WatfordScottyM 16,585,255

  @blade_guy 21,324,876

  @adiemc 21,910,143

  @ReesesPieces 21,971,468

  @kiki80703 22,016,538

  @piratemania7 23,765,672

  @snowhitie 26,759,235

  @SirBen 27,272,727

  @DoktorL 30,092,003

  @Cymbeline 31,015,255

  @masterX244 32,794,421

  @Shib 36,697,244

  @MugenPower 40,290,866

  @ericb 42,496,975

  @FowlerBricks 45,238,900

  @CaptainPirateMan 47,000,000

  @tcc 51,338,416

  @Mynatt 55,555,555

  @khopewosin 55,798,120

  @Tkatt 61,111,977

  @im2cre8iv 61,492,683

  @Redbullgivesuwind 73,858,612

  @pxchris 75,169,369

  @M1J0E 81,811,833

  @Renegade007cjh 86,198,777

  @jedivalkyrie 88,003,129

  @LittleLori 94,327,196

  @Switchfoot55 99,718,421

  @TheFew 100,000,000

  @SithLord196 100,221,811

  @iliketoast 102,981,500

  @hoodaddy 110,277,001

  @panchox1 111,861,612

  @eMJeeNL 120,417,120

  @im2cre8iv 123,047,284

  @dmcc0 123,456,789

  @gmonkey76 123,456,789

  @Vgang 132,965,345

  @Brainslugged 153,766,037

  @alldarker 174,566,728

  @Brainslugged 195,367,420

  @panchox1 216,168,111

  @SumoLego 235,720,620

  @eMJeeNL 240,041,524

  @shikadi 252,764,239

  @BeauBricks 271,500,301

  @MaffyD 304,605,907

  @KungFuKenny 305,034,589

  @Mr_Cross 333,333,333

  @mak0137 336,122,679

  @Covi 347,864,111

  @benbacardi 357,723,713

  @alldarker 379,324,746

  @shikadi 410,785,381

  @Bobflip 447,311,360

  @historyman 452,278,310

  @SeijiAmasawa 465,135,789

  @tcc 467,244,569

  @SithLord196 478,690,919

  @Redbullgivesuwind 500,654,123

  @Bumblepants 504,981,017

  @Jackad7 505,277,915

  @Renegade007cjh 512,312,123

  @Speedman29 520,474,823

  @Switchfoot55 529,843,922

  @Cymbeline 535,352,200

  @LittleLori 541,889,029

  @Mynatt 555,555,555

  @Toc13 567,301,518

  @mak0137 572,123,845

  @Vgang 574,982,123

  @MaffyD 607,359,980

  @historyman 608,329,360

  @hoodaddy 615,545,027

  @Bobflip 633,581,179

  @CCC 641,382,663

  @SumoLego 641,382,664

  @CCC 641,382,665

  @Covi 642,157,883

  @masterX244 648,577,329

  @COOLEGO 674,893,756

  @Bumblepants 683,210,459

  @pxchris 685,052,735

  @BeauBricks 699,000,007

  @Shib 732,360,129

  @Jackad7 751,500,132

  @jedivalkyrie 753,124,987

  @piratemania7 759,407,271

  @SeijiAmasawa 773,588,230

  @kiki80703 774,827,359

  @klinton 777,777,777

  @ericb 792,855,374

  @TheFew 800,000,000

  @milamber 811,666,123

  @iliketoast 812,161,202

  @Toc13 815,103,765

  @khopewosin 815,211,161

  @snowhitie 831,900,100

  @WatfordScottyM 841,193,252

  @adiemc 846,023,199

  @TheOriginalSimonB 857,458,333

  @benbacardi 877,458,604

  @SirBen 897,512,874

  @MAGNINOMINISUMBRA 899,799,699

  @M1J0E 910,735,701

  @MugenPower 915,103,675

  @bandit778 915,103,765
  
  I failed to take a picture of my cards before leaving home this morning, but I will announce the winners in a couple of hours!

  

  6
• im2cre8iv Utah, USAMember Posts: 127

  November 2019

  Woot! Best of luck to everyone!

  0
• stlux LuxembourgMember Posts: 2,369

  November 2019 edited November 2019

  Alright, a picture of my display for my LEGO House 6-brick combo cards without the most recent numbers obscured:
  
  
  
  So for the Oct 11 combo# 219,801,518 the winner is @panchox1.
  
  For the Oct 12 combo# 293,093,246 the winner is @MaffyD.
  
  PM me your address and your choice of LEGO House keychain/polybag, and I get those sent your way!
  

  

  25
• Switchfoot55 The Northwest, USAMember Posts: 2,077

  November 2019

  Thanks for hosting such a wonderful contest!!!

  

  8
• panchox1 The Outer RimMember Posts: 508

  November 2019

  yay! thanks so much!
  

  

  3
• Brainslugged England (the grim North)Member Posts: 1,522

  November 2019

  Congrats to the winners. And thanks to @stlux for hosting!

  

  8
• TheOriginalSimonB Felixstowe Member Posts: 1,557

  November 2019

  Woo! Congratulations folks.

  

  4
• MaffyD West YorkshireMember Posts: 2,829

  November 2019

  @stlux - Wow! I've won one! What're the odds? Thank you for running this competition. PM is on its way... 

  

  6
• SumoLego New YorkMember Posts: 13,462

  November 2019

  stlux said:

  
  

  @CCC 641,382,663

  @SumoLego 641,382,664

  @CCC 641,382,665
  

  
  I failed to take a picture of my cards before leaving home this morning, but I will announce the winners in a couple of hours!

  Hey!  Wait a minute, I think @CCC lowered my chances.  I'm not good with math, so I can't prove it.
  
  I'll get you, my pretty, and your little dog too!
  

  

  8
• Cymbeline CanadaMember Posts: 332

  November 2019

  Thanks for hosting stlux and congratulations to MaffyD and panchox1!

  

  3
• kiki180703 Montreal, CanadaMember Posts: 1,051

  November 2019

  Wow, congrats to the winners! Thanks again to @stlux for hosting.

  

  3
• M1J0E Calgary, ABMember Posts: 644

  November 2019

  Thanks to @stlux for hosting!

  

  2
• CCC UKMember Posts: 19,331

  November 2019 edited November 2019

  
  

  SumoLego said:

  stlux said:

  
  

  @CCC 641,382,663

  @SumoLego 641,382,664

  @CCC 641,382,665
  

  
  I failed to take a picture of my cards before leaving home this morning, but I will announce the winners in a couple of hours!

  Hey!  Wait a minute, I think @CCC lowered my chances.  I'm not good with math, so I can't prove it.
  
  I'll get you, my pretty, and your little dog too!
  

  I actually increased your chances, here is a bar chart to prove it.

  
  

  
  

  
  

  
  

  
  

  

  14
• Fizyx ColoradoMember Posts: 1,005

  November 2019

  CCC said:

  
  

  SumoLego said:

  stlux said:

  
  

  @CCC 641,382,663

  @SumoLego 641,382,664

  @CCC 641,382,665
  

  
  I failed to take a picture of my cards before leaving home this morning, but I will announce the winners in a couple of hours!

  Hey!  Wait a minute, I think @CCC lowered my chances.  I'm not good with math, so I can't prove it.
  
  I'll get you, my pretty, and your little dog too!
  

  I actually increased your chances, here is a bar chart to prove it.

  
  

  
  

  
  

  
  

  
  

  As a mathematician, I can confirm that the bar chart proves it.
  

  

  2
• panchox1 The Outer RimMember Posts: 508

  December 2019

  @stlux, I sent you a pm. Not sure if you saw it.
  

  0