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A LEGO House special Bonusball Edition - 11 April 2019 deadline

2

Comments

  • TheOriginalSimonBTheOriginalSimonB Felixstowe Member Posts: 1,259
    Yay, nice one.  Thanks again for another house-related draw @stlux

    This time I shall go for 1,313,562
  • oldtodd33oldtodd33 Denver 4800 miles to BillundMember Posts: 2,401
      500,000,001        Thanks for hosting!
  • DeMontesDeMontes North YorkshireMember Posts: 512
    edited April 6
    67,700
    thanks for hosting, I should host one of these as this is the third time I’ve remembered to take part!
    @snowhitie when is your next free slot?
    Bumblepantsstluxsnowhitiesid3windrLego_Star
  • diddypididdypi USAMember Posts: 25
    591,503,765
  • ravendragonwingravendragonwing Member Posts: 141
    13,198,250
  • Jern92Jern92 MalaysiaMember Posts: 792
    906,734,103
  • msandersmsanders Member Posts: 893
    87,678,354
  • CoviCovi BelgiumMember Posts: 285
    313,727,151
  • LegolisLegolis Leeds, UKMember Posts: 223
    20400
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 17,495
    432360127
  • pookiepookie Member Posts: 155
    972220
  • alldarkeralldarker NetherlandsMember Posts: 210
    Cool, I like these, as there's a definite science to picking a number. Mine will be 369,473,084
  • CommanderRaabCommanderRaab Edinburgh, ScotlandMember Posts: 596
    485,103,765
    thanks
  • khopewosinkhopewosin Member Posts: 87
    532,160,128

    Thanks @stlux

  • Switchfoot55Switchfoot55 The Northwest, USAMember Posts: 1,422
    Thanks for hosting again!

    348,928,217
  • pxchrispxchris Oregon, USAMember Posts: 458
    Thanks for hosting @stlux!

    717,171,777
  • cleverusernamecleverusername Member Posts: 59
    186,371,400
  • CyberdragonCyberdragon Maryland, U.S.AMember Posts: 368
    42,420,442
  • dmcc0dmcc0 Nae far fae AberdeenMember Posts: 663
    123456
  • theLEGOmantheLEGOman UKMember Posts: 1,509
    333,333,333

    Cheers, I take it we have till the 11th of April 2019 ;) to join this competition.
  • snowhitiesnowhitie BelgiumMember Posts: 2,806
    edited April 9
    Always a good one to do, thanks @stlux.
    I'll go for 919353.

    @DeMontes thanks for the offer for hosting, I'll send you a PM!
    DeMontes
  • sirrich69sirrich69 Member Posts: 452
    49,428,092 thanks @stlux
  • Matt89190Matt89190 UKMember Posts: 278
    372,492,109
  • Leandro16Leandro16 New Jersey Member Posts: 50
    86,616,238
  • piratemania7piratemania7 New EnglandMember Posts: 2,029
    265,380
  • brickventuresbrickventures New YorkMember Posts: 24
    88,888,888 ~ thanks @stlux
  • stluxstlux LuxembourgMember Posts: 2,140
    @Bobflip @theLEGOman Yes, 2019, not 2018. The perils of copy/paste!

    @alldarker Please feel free to share your analysis again of people's guesses of my LEGO House combo number. Your analysis of November's bonusball was highly informative AND entertaining!
    Mr_CrosstheLEGOmansid3windrsnowhitie
  • alldarkeralldarker NetherlandsMember Posts: 210
    stlux said:
    @Bobflip @theLEGOman Yes, 2019, not 2018. The perils of copy/paste!

    @alldarker Please feel free to share your analysis again of people's guesses of my LEGO House combo number. Your analysis of November's bonusball was highly informative AND entertaining!
    I'm already on it @stlux :) Updating as I'm posting this 
    stluxMr_Crosssid3windr
  • lord_relishlord_relish Member Posts: 17
    You got combination 320,080,003
  • TheLegoMaster35TheLegoMaster35 OH, USAMember Posts: 254
    edited April 11
    270,517,050
  • caterham7caterham7 UkMember Posts: 380
    Keeping it simple.

    7

  • COOLEGOCOOLEGO B'ham/SolihullMember Posts: 181
    2,400,000

    Reading posts like yours just increase me desire to head to Billund soon...
  • datsunrobbiedatsunrobbie West Haven , CTMember Posts: 1,436
    42
  • MugenPowerMugenPower Member Posts: 441
    22618
  • sid3windrsid3windr BelgiumMember Posts: 1,331
    126,344,898
  • Lego_StarLego_Star ... in a galaxy far, far away.Member Posts: 2,011
    534607827 is my number choice. 

    Thanks for hosting @stlux.
  • DeMontesDeMontes North YorkshireMember Posts: 512
    @Lego_Star I think you meant to say 398,855,563...
    Mr_CrossLego_Star
  • DeMontesDeMontes North YorkshireMember Posts: 512
    @Brainslugged  Did you take into account the previous numbers @stlux had been given?  She said "After these "small" numbers, I received a larger combo in November: 732,360,128. Last week my combo was quite different again"

    That suggests that it would be 'quite different' from the others and I think this is why many chose a low number.

    :-)

    So I decided to take this way too seriously and maximise my chances of winning. As a result, my number is 618,440,955 which currently gives me a 2.94% chance of winning (versus what would have been an average 1.20% chance of winning with 83 people playing).

    snowhitieLittleLoriRedbullgivesuwind
  • Lego_StarLego_Star ... in a galaxy far, far away.Member Posts: 2,011
    edited April 11
    @DeMontes Nope! ;o) lol. 

    My number choice was quite deliberate. Anyone care to venture the reason as to why I chose that specific number?
    :o)
  • JBricks27JBricks27 Member Posts: 673
    67,864,964
  • OnebricktoomanyOnebricktoomany United StatesMember Posts: 278
    857,511,919
  • RedbullgivesuwindRedbullgivesuwind Brickset's Secret HeadquatersMember Posts: 1,731
    @Brainslugged the analysis in me is so impressed by the maths. The mischief maker in me really wants you to be way out. 
    snowhitie
  • BrainsluggedBrainslugged England (the grim North)Member Posts: 734
    @Brainslugged the analysis in me is so impressed by the maths. The mischief maker in me really wants you to be way out. 
    Based on what @DeMontes said above, I probably am!
    Redbullgivesuwind
  • CoviCovi BelgiumMember Posts: 285
    Oooooh the tension!
    LittleLori
  • snowhitiesnowhitie BelgiumMember Posts: 2,806
    I just love these discussions and analytics!
  • eMJeeNLeMJeeNL The NetherlandsMember Posts: 362
    Ooooh.... im so benieuwd! ;)
    sid3windr
  • redarmyredarmy AberdeenMember Posts: 689

    So I decided to take this way too seriously and maximise my chances of winning. As a result, my number is 618,440,955 which currently gives me a 2.94% chance of winning (versus what would have been an average 1.20% chance of winning with 83 people playing).

    Of course, not everyone has a 1.20% of chance of winning. For example, poor old @redarmy with his choice of “1” only has a 0.0000003% chance of winning, or 1 in 305,034,585. If he’s planning on beating these odds someday, I hope it isn’t today and is instead on a day he plays the lottery or decides to be involved in a plane crash.

    I also thought it would be interesting to create a chart of the number choice distribution just to see how bad humans are at choosing random numbers. Not only were 36 of the 83 numbers chosen under 100 million (despite having over 915 million numbers to choose from), but half of those (18) were under 1 million (although I’m well aware that some of these were joke guesses). The results still demonstrate why it’s always best to choose random numbers for a lottery, because in the very unlikely event you should win, the chances of having to share the prize with someone else are minimised.


    Oh, and for the record, the next best number to choose now is 398,855,563 if anyone wants it. Or you could just do one more or less than my guess and reduce the chance of me winning by 50% just to annoy me 😊.

    Oh… and thanks to @stlux for hosting.


    O' ye of little faith my good man!
    BrainsluggedBobflip
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