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Comments
[1], so 6801 was a small space set, 6899 a large one
From 1980 to maybe 1996? LEGO had a pretty nicely defined numbering system, as Huw mentioned above. Each theme (or product, like DUPLO) had a designated range for the mainstream sets. Small sets would be at the lower end of the range, and larger sets would be at the higher end of the range. For the "space" theme, the range was #6800-#6999. So #6801 was a very small set, #6901 was a "medium-sized" set, and #6990 was a large set.
In the late 1990's up until 2002 LEGO tried in vain to hold on to their 4-digit numbering scheme. They were running out of numbers, and needed to either start re-using old numbers (like #6075), or figuring out a new scheme. Instead, they just started bending the rules. They started making some exceptions, like small sets getting high, yet in-range numbers. For instance, #6999 was a medium set, which came at the end of the space range, or #6094 which was a small/medium set which was also at the high end of the castle range.
In 2001, LEGO opened up to mainstream sets receiving 5-digit numbers with the Guarded Inn (#10000), but didn't start numbering very many in this range. Initially, 5-digit set numbers were explicitly for "LEGO Direct", which pretty much meant they were intended for AFOLs.
They finally gave up even trying to keep the rules of the 4-digit system in 2003, with set numbers wildly out of their "appropriate" ranges. Instead of using the tried-and-true range, they instead simply started trying to fill in gaps in the existing range of 4-digit numbers.
The philosophy (which still appears to be in use) is that they'll look for a large range of unused 4-digit numbers for a given product release. Then, everything within that release will be given sequential numbers within that range (typically ordered from smallest to largest). Rarely within the past 8 years, you can find "holes" of 1 number in these ranges, where a product was obviously removed from the final production release-- IE, it was assigned a number, and then never actually released.
Eventually, LEGO's going to have to give up the 4-digit system entirely, OR have to start re-using more set numbers. My guess is (does anyone know?) that there's probably some internal discussions about moving to a 5+ digit system, but there are probably a lot of systems that simply aren't designed to handle that which have been in place for the last 30 years.
DaveE
2063 Stormer 2.0
2254 Mountain Shrine
3648 Police Chase
3815 Heroic Heroes of the Deep
4182 The cannibal Escape
4642 Fishing Boat
5679 Police Bike
5767 Cool Cruiser
6138 My First First Station
6918 Blacksmith Attack
7286 Prisoner Transport
7327 Scorpion Pyramid
8066 Off-Roader
8804 Series 4 Minifigures
9348 Community Minifigure Set
DaveE
Life was much simpler then...... LOL....
Part of the problem is that the number of sets released every year has mushroomed since the mid 1990s. Looking at http://www.brickset.com/browse/ (with regular list view) you can see that less than 150 sets a year were made up until 1995. Now it's close to 500 a year. 9999 numbers isn't going to go far at that rate.
It should be easy to see how many unallocated 4 digit numbers there are from the Brickset database: I'll run a query later and let you know.
I think we'll see the adoption of another 5 digit series for regular sets fairly soon. Perhaps then, with more numbers at their disposal and starting afresh, they may apply more logic to their allocation.
Already we have
1xxxx: Direct
20xxx: Brickmaster
21xxx: Architecture
3xxxx: Promos
4xxxx: Seasonal
Maybe 5xxxx will be regular sets one day.
December 2014 Australia: Lego build-a-tree-ornament promotional event at Westfield Shopping Centres on selected.
December 2014 Australia: Lego build-a-tree-ornament promotional event at Westfield Shopping Centres on selected.
9th of May 2015 Australia: Toys R Us Ninjago 1st instore-build event (total of 4 builds over 4 Saturdays).