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Predictions on Discontinuing Sets and their Secondary Market Value

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  • vaspvasp USAMember Posts: 73
    May be TH is not going now. But we are just 2 months away from the crazy rush and with stock at this situation, returns are going to be fairly decent. May be not 100-200%+ appreciation. I'd say good short term returns. I wouldn't say lack of interest. At a $300 price point about 10 sold in a day
  • herekittykittyherekittykitty Member Posts: 122
    edited October 2014
    Town Hall is sold out again on S&H USA. Darn it, hopefully it comes back again.

    Really kicking myself now for not buying it back when it was included in those crazy amazon/walmart sales.
  • SuperTrampSuperTramp City 17Member Posts: 1,021
    SSD is available to order again @ [email protected](europe), expected ship date 27 Nov.
  • SuperTrampSuperTramp City 17Member Posts: 1,021
    lol, now sold out.
    bluedragon
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,916
    vasp said:

    Yes it is.

    Town Hall on amazon. Limit 2

    Isn't the limit of 2 on every set via Amazon these days?
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    .
    prevere said:

    vasp said:

    Yes it is.

    Town Hall on amazon. Limit 2

    Isn't the limit of 2 on every set via Amazon these days?
    yes, it is... used to be 5 on most, some had no limit, but now it is a hard 2 on everything.

    you can order once per week, it resets in 7 days. gives everyone a chance to buy. :)
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    edited October 2014
    wagnerml2 said:

    My 2014 Yukon Denali is all the midlife crisis I need!

    That is what I drive, abit the XL version (GMC version of the Suburban for those who don't know).

    I had an older one, recently got a nice new 2015 model for all the new technology in it. (Adaptive Cruise Control, Emergency Crash Braking, Cross traffic alert, lane departure warning, magnetic ride control, power fold flat third row seats, etc.)

    I have 3 kids and haul stuff, and we often have their friends with us. Just yesterday we celebrated my son's 9th birthday, took 2 of his friends along with us bowling, along with the presents.

    The fact that the truck easily fits 7 of us, plus all the stuff for a party, in comfort, is really nice.

    Would a minivan do that? Sure... but not with as much style. :) Besides, I live in Texas and the air conditioned seats are almost a requirement here.

    #FirstWorldProblems indeed... :)

    At the end of the day, I bought it because of the safety features, the emergency crash braking only has to avoid a single accident with my kids in the truck to be worth every penny.



    I share with you this video, those of you who have kids, I'm sure you understand... (Clean video, safe for work)
  • DadDad UKMember Posts: 816
    ^ Dad's Sixth Sense?? It didn't look like he had any sense not noticing that car reversing out. Jesus.. I don't think I'd get in a car with him ever again!!
    nkx1
  • nkx1nkx1 Member Posts: 719
    edited October 2014
    ^Haha, nice. You'd think one of them would have noticed that. It seems to me that if he put more effort into watching his kid, most of those incidents would have never occurred!

    That emergency crash braking feature seems nice nonetheless.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Well yea, that is a good point... he saves his kid from everything, then spaces out in the car! :)

    But of course then we couldn't see the wonderful Auto Emergency Braking at work. :)

    My son just turned 9, rest assured he'll never drive a car without it. I was 16 once, lord they should never have let me drive then, I was a menace. :)
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    BTW, my youngest son is 4, it is totally possible that by the time he is driving, we'll have auto-drive cars and it may or may not be beside the point.

    After all, I never learned to drive a stick, there will come a time when people just don't bother to learn to drive. I think it will come sooner than most expect.

    When I was a kid, air conditioning, power windows, automatic transmissions, etc. were all optional on cars. Now, not only are THOSE standard, but we have standard anti-lock brakes, air bags, and a hundred other things in cars... Reverse cameras are now going to be required in all cars, I think next year or the year after...

    -----------

    So, anyone want to make a prediction on when we'll see the first mass-produced self-driving car? Will it be Google, or someone else?
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,916
    LegoFanTexas said:

    BTW, my youngest son is 4, it is totally possible that by the time he is driving, we'll have auto-drive cars and it may or may not be beside the point.

    Good. Now, I'll be able to sort while commuting to work.
    lordzarak
  • theLEGOmantheLEGOman UKMember Posts: 1,524
    Did you see the video of Volvo's early attempt at auto braking?
  • monkeyhangermonkeyhanger Member Posts: 2,986
    LegoFanTexas said:



    So, anyone want to make a prediction on when we'll see the first mass-produced self-driving car? Will it be Google, or someone else?

    I think they could be doing it right now if they really wanted. My dad opted for the same car as I currently have (VW Golf GTD), but he went with the DSG auto (I hate autos, dual clutch with flappy paddles or otherwise). On mine, the adaptive cruise has a radar in the front to maintain a safe distance from the car in front (if there is one) and will speed back up following a slowdown (up to your set speed limit). If the car in front slams on the brakes, the manual will give a short sharp bang on the brakes to prompt you to brake properly, if it thinks a crash is likely if you don't intervene. It won't brake fully as it could stall the car when the revs fall with braking stuck in a gear. With the DSG the car can be brought right down to a standstill automatically through the gears and take off again back up to speed. Lane assist is an option on the range - if you could tie in that tech with the satnav and traffic light status recognition to put in a destination, it doesn't seem much of a stretch of the imagination for the car to be able to drive you there.

    Of course auto driving cars will only really be successful if we're all at it, us humans car be so unpredictable to even the smartest piece of tech.

  • Gavin83Gavin83 Member Posts: 251
    LegoFanTexas said:

    So, anyone want to make a prediction on when we'll see the first mass-produced self-driving car? Will it be Google, or someone

    Probably not long. However saying that the person in the car will still need to have a licence, can't be drunk, etc so I'd imagine it'll be a long time (if ever) before a non driver is allowed to be in charge of a car.
  • piratemania7piratemania7 New EnglandMember Posts: 2,142
    I'm most interested in seeing if and when TH becomes available again. I was a bit surprised it went right to Sold Out as ubiquitously as it did.

    Sorry to detract from everyone's talk about cars and mid-life crises...
    TXLegoguysidersddpharmjodLobotbp10030prevereAngel_C
  • vaspvasp USAMember Posts: 73
    ToO is gone from all avenues except for [email protected], usa
  • lulwutlulwut Member Posts: 417
    Hard to believe we're no longer seeing the cutthroat price slashing seen two years ago on big sets: $120 Town Halls, $280 Death Stars, $260 SSDs. WoW!

    Everyone bought cars? I sold a large portion of my 'collection' and diverted it toward something fast and reckless.

    image
    TechnicNickdaneLegoFanTexasFollowsCloselypreverestarwarfan77BrickDancer
  • matticus_bricksmatticus_bricks Member Posts: 651
    I went to my local Lego store today hoping to find some near-EOL exclusives, but they did not have Town Hall or Haunted House. I asked the employee working there and she said that both sets are sold out and retiring. This is expected for HH, but I'm really hoping the TH sticks around for a little while. Anyway, I ended up getting a Pet Shop, as this one seems to be at risk of retirement soon too.
  • nkx1nkx1 Member Posts: 719
    edited October 2014
    piratemania7 said:

    I'm most interested in seeing if and when TH becomes available again. I was a bit surprised it went right to Sold Out as ubiquitously as it did.

    Yeah, TH certainly disappeared pretty quickly. In general, many of the larger (presumably slower-selling) sets, including many modulars, appear to have sold out at many retailers; notably, TRU. I'm totally guessing, but it's probably a production issue, and most of these will be back. With the large number of sets Lego is producing now, it might be hard to fit in production runs of any one set when it sells out unexpectedly. Although, to have so many large sets sell out like that, maybe Lego needs to up their sales forecasting game.

    Btw, nice Ninja. That looks so fun. I'd probably kill myself within a week on one of those, so I'm probably better off with a sports car.
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,950
    edited October 2014
    lulwut said:

    Hard to believe we're no longer seeing the cutthroat price slashing seen two years ago on big sets: $120 Town Halls, $280 Death Stars, $260 SSDs. WoW!

    In the US, there are no more discounts on DS, TH, or other 'exclusive' sets. So if you want one you are likely paying retail for em. The best you can likely do is get them with 2x VIP points when LEGO is running one of those promotions to get something back.
    Plus pretty sure TH is still at the store by me, though that was on Saturday, not sure if they are still hanging around.

    Also interestingly enough, the #31012 Family house is back to Sold out again.. Wonder if this is only due to low stocks of the set though as I think it has not been out that long.
  • monkeyhangermonkeyhanger Member Posts: 2,986
    I haven't been on a motorbike since I was 14 and our gang of mates were taking turns on on of the lad's scrambler. It was my go when the Forestry commission turned up and I ended up shooting off into the woods at Kielder (didn't get caught). Yes, I was a little b'stard when I was a kid! ;)
  • vaspvasp USAMember Posts: 73
    madforLEGO said:

    lulwut said:

    Hard to believe we're no longer seeing the cutthroat price slashing seen two years ago on big sets: $120 Town Halls, $280 Death Stars, $260 SSDs. WoW!

    In the US, there are no more discounts on DS, TH, or other 'exclusive' sets. So if you want one you are likely paying retail for em. The best you can likely do is get them with 2x VIP points when LEGO is running one of those promotions to get something back.
    Plus pretty sure TH is still at the store by me, though that was on Saturday, not sure if they are still hanging around.

    Also interestingly enough, the #31012 Family house is back to Sold out again.. Wonder if this is only due to low stocks of the set though as I think it has not been out that long.
    #31012 is done. The only place available currently is tru. Not sure how long it will last there.

    #3185 is done at tru also. May be sporadic stock in store. That's it.

  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    lulwut said:

    Hard to believe we're no longer seeing the cutthroat price slashing seen two years ago on big sets: $120 Town Halls, $280 Death Stars, $260 SSDs. WoW!

    Everyone bought cars? I sold a large portion of my 'collection' and diverted it toward something fast and reckless.

    image

    Very nice bike... :)

    Not a rider myself, but that one sure looks sweet! :)
  • cheshirecatcheshirecat Member Posts: 5,332
    Its a true mid life crisis if its got just two wheels.
  • rocaorocao Administrator Posts: 4,290
    edited October 2014
    As a reminder, we have an 'Off Topic' category for discussions that don't pertain to LEGO, i.e. 'Predictions on what cars we would buy if we were in a mid-life crisis and their total cost of ownership'
    pharmjodvaspthenoscloaked7madforLEGODougoutLostInTranslationAngel_C1265
  • Farmer_JohnFarmer_John USA - 4,035 Miles from 62 West Wallaby St., Wigan, Lancashire, UKMember Posts: 2,404
    ^Or perhaps "Predictions of Sets We Would Buy If We Were in a Mid-Life Crisis." The UCS MF #10179 is at the top of my list...
  • monkeyhangermonkeyhanger Member Posts: 2,986
    Don't mention the reselling of cars when you fancy a change. :)
  • FollowsCloselyFollowsClosely Member Posts: 1,009
    edited October 2014
    HH back at Amazon!

    image

    Edit: never mind
  • xeeeejxeeeej Member Posts: 71
    edited October 2014
    doriansdad said:

    I won't be posting on this site for a while due to the scabs over at brickpicker sharing all the info which I want to be for this community only.

    I find this hilariously ironic, coming from the person who hinted at but never shared things like 27% off exclusives and $140 Tower Bridges.

    Whatever will we do without your fount of knowledge!? :(

    FollowsCloselyTheLoneTensorminicoopers111265
  • cloaked7cloaked7 Member Posts: 1,448
    ^ Maybe there are LEGO Insider Trading laws? Wouldn't want to get busted. One might end up in the LEGO Police Station in the same cell as a sledgehammer welding female minifig!
  • BrickarmorBrickarmor USAMember Posts: 1,257
    Town Hall with ship date of 10/20 on [email protected] US.
    herekittykitty
  • stevemackstevemack 1567km Drive From BillundMember Posts: 927
    #10221 Call to check availability on UK [email protected], just managed to order 2 over the phone for delivery next week (weird as the website was giving dates in december last week when it was in stock on the website), they also informed me that it's still in production until the end of the year but beyond that they aren't sure if it will be available after new year!
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 19,443
    cheshirecat said:

    Its a true mid life crisis if its got just two wheels.

    One of my mates owns seven bicycles, I think he is going through the same thing. But in a more British / Yorkshire way.
    wagnerml2CoraHarrisonGothamConstructionCo
  • atxleeatxlee Member Posts: 155
    edited October 2014
    Brickarmor said:

    Town Hall with ship date of 10/20 on [email protected] US.

    Just ordered 1 set for my personal collection. Got a scare from its abrupt OOS/retirement situation!
  • LeonCLeonC United KingdomMember Posts: 364
    CCC said:

    cheshirecat said:

    Its a true mid life crisis if its got just two wheels.

    One of my mates owns seven bicycles, I think he is going through the same thing. But in a more British / Yorkshire way.
    Something like this?

    image

  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,950
    vasp said:

    madforLEGO said:

    lulwut said:

    Hard to believe we're no longer seeing the cutthroat price slashing seen two years ago on big sets: $120 Town Halls, $280 Death Stars, $260 SSDs. WoW!

    In the US, there are no more discounts on DS, TH, or other 'exclusive' sets. So if you want one you are likely paying retail for em. The best you can likely do is get them with 2x VIP points when LEGO is running one of those promotions to get something back.
    Plus pretty sure TH is still at the store by me, though that was on Saturday, not sure if they are still hanging around.

    Also interestingly enough, the #31012 Family house is back to Sold out again.. Wonder if this is only due to low stocks of the set though as I think it has not been out that long.
    #31012 is done. The only place available currently is tru. Not sure how long it will last there.

    #3185 is done at tru also. May be sporadic stock in store. That's it.

    Where is the source for #31012 is 'done'? Because it is a bit of a surprise if this is the case, the set has only been out for about 1 year.
  • vaspvasp USAMember Posts: 73
    Been on sold out status for a while at [email protected] usa
  • TXLegoguyTXLegoguy USMember Posts: 125
    The 5771 Hillside House was only available about a year and a half. So it's possible the 31012 is on its way out.
  • TXLegoguyTXLegoguy USMember Posts: 125
    edited October 2014
    Sorry posted twice
  • SuperTrampSuperTramp City 17Member Posts: 1,021
    edited October 2014
    ...
    stevemack said:

    #10221 Call to check availability on UK [email protected], just managed to order 2 over the phone for delivery next week (weird as the website was giving dates in december last week when it was in stock on the website), they also informed me that it's still in production until the end of the year but beyond that they aren't sure if it will be available after new year!

    Strange, after you posted it changed to December and now it's sold out again.

  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 19,443
    LeonC said:

    CCC said:

    cheshirecat said:

    Its a true mid life crisis if its got just two wheels.

    One of my mates owns seven bicycles, I think he is going through the same thing. But in a more British / Yorkshire way.
    Something like this?



    Only worth probably 100x that each. He has over £10K worth of bikes. I'd say I'm shocked, but he is probably on a bike forum right now saying his mate has over £10K worth of lego. :-)
    monkeyhangersidersdd
  • SuperTrampSuperTramp City 17Member Posts: 1,021
    Are they collectors items like the old school bmx's' or does he actually use them?
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,950
    vasp said:

    Been on sold out status for a while at [email protected] usa

    GE was sold out for about 30 days and then came back about a year ago and even this year I think it was sold out for about as long as well.
    So while it is entirely possible, I'm not so sure it is EOL.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    rocao said:

    As a reminder, we have an 'Off Topic' category for discussions that don't pertain to LEGO, i.e. 'Predictions on what cars we would buy if we were in a mid-life crisis and their total cost of ownership'

    Boo! I'll bet you're loads of fun at parties too. :)
    Thanos75FollowsClosely
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,950
    LegoFanTexas said:

    rocao said:

    As a reminder, we have an 'Off Topic' category for discussions that don't pertain to LEGO, i.e. 'Predictions on what cars we would buy if we were in a mid-life crisis and their total cost of ownership'

    Boo! I'll bet you're loads of fun at parties too. :)
    It was a reminder, not a decree.
    Never mind that while a cute little distraction it was getting a bit annoying.
    pharmjod
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    madforLEGO said:

    It was a reminder, not a decree.
    Never mind that while a cute little distraction it was getting a bit annoying.

    :) My reply was meant to be light hearted... I got the message... :)
    Pitfall69
  • rocaorocao Administrator Posts: 4,290
    LegoFanTexas said:

    Boo! I'll bet you're loads of fun at parties too. :)

    It depends on what the criteria is. I bet ours differ wildly.

  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    rocao said:

    LegoFanTexas said:

    Boo! I'll bet you're loads of fun at parties too. :)

    It depends on what the criteria is. I bet ours differ wildly.
    :) Does yours involve a toga?
  • FatMattFatMatt USMember Posts: 502
    edited October 2014
    ^How about a rubber hose, a spatula, and a 9v battery?
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