Please use our links: LEGO.com • Amazon
Brickset.com is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, the Amazon.com.ca, Inc. Associates Program and the Amazon EU Associates Programme, which are affiliate advertising programs designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to Amazon.
As an Amazon Associate we earn from qualifying purchases.
Sold out, out of stock, backordered... all more or less mean the same thing and are open to points of view...
There isn't much gray area in "retired product". It means what it says... :)
(or it should, nothing stops TLG from making more anyway!)
My guess is it is still gone, but apparently the resellers have had their fill.
HH is a different story, heavily understocked, short run of 2 years and sand green - a gift for resellers who did get stock....it will gravitate to $450 very quickly.
I think they do it like the Wheel of Fish.
Functionality-wise, they've introduced the ability to filter, sort, and preview; a rating system; VIP point and promotion system; inventory count with backorder fulfillment. The change to a modern look is obvious.
Now, if you were talking about Bricklink, you'd be spot on: http://web.archive.org/web/20031009214154/http://www.bricklink.com/
I'm just a hobby-level reseller, but I was just thinking back to when I first started investing (end of 2011). Instead of investing $10k or so in a very wide spectrum of themes/sets, I should have just gone with my gut instinct and bought $10k in one or two sets, one being #4195 QAR. PotC is such a universally-desirable theme, and the ship is great-looking. This would have made things so much simpler (for instance, the time needed to list the sets), and would have netted a significantly higher profit (for me). If I waited until now to start selling, #4195 can be pretty easily sold for $350 or so. After fees/shipping, that's an easy $180+ profit per sale, assuming the sets were purchased at $100 each (which was very easily done).
Of course, there are other themes/sets that have probably done better, such as Harry Potter, etc. But in my mind, these sets weren't as obvious a win as the QAR (or even Black Pearl), given the fan base and appearance of the PotC sets.
I'm thinking the "all your eggs in one basket" might be my approach going forward: only investing (heavily) in one or two very select sets every couple of years that I think are an obvious win. HH comes to mind, although I've missed out on it because I procrastinated. The next one might be Palace Cinema.
Contrary to typical investing, I think the "all your eggs in one basket" approach could be a winning strategy for Lego, if one is extraordinarily discerning in set selection.
For instance, #10193 Medieval Market Village possesses a lot of characteristics similar to past strong performers and many people were certain it would do well. It still may, But presently -- a year and a half into retirement -- you'd be netting $30 or less per set.
There is a lot of people sat on a lot of sets that will never return a profit. Good luck to them. I'm not one of them. The worst set I'm sat on is #79111 but I only have 6 of them.
I've had over 60 #4842 through my hands. I doubled my money immediately but that was actually the first Christmas they were out. I wasn't in a position to hold them. They came in and got shipped out within 48 hours.
The game has changed. It's a brave man who puts all his eggs in one basket in any walk of life. The retailers have changed the game too such as team gb figures available last week at cost. I thibk it was last year #10216 was available fron a Uk supplier..think they had 900 of them. There's still winners of course but more people are backing them so they're a shorter price. Do I wish I still had my Taj Mahals and Cafe Corners? Sure I do!!!! But I cant turn the clock back so Im just happy that Ive still got my Emerald Nights and Green Grocers....that and the fact I piled in on Fire Brigades right to the end and beyond!!!
Star Wars is a proven winner, but those sets are frequently reissued. When they are, the original usually (not always) takes a hit. Outside the Star Wars universe, most items can be hurt by the release of a new, similar item.
These are 2 factors beyond your control that could play hell with your "all eggs in one basket" approach.
I think everyone thought HH would be around for this Halloween, but I think it's caught most people by surprise by retiring now. That will probably bode well for people that have 20 in inventory. But, what if LEGO decided to keep the set current for 2-3 years? Or, even 5 more years, much like the Death Star? Those latter aspects are just too iffy for me to go whole hog into 1 or 2 sets.
Just a little background on my little all eggs in one basket strategy:
-I don't rely on selling Lego for a living
-It's obviously a gamble, just like any high risk investing
-If I invested, say, $10k into only one, two or three sets and I lost everything, it really wouldn't matter much. I'm not trying to brag and don't get me wrong, I have to work a fair amount to earn $10k. But losing $10k is probably not going to change my life at all. I guess what I'm trying to say is, I don't mind gambling a bit, and I'm willing to risk losing in order to win big as opposed to taking a more balanced approach and probably just earning a relatively meager profit (some big winners, many mediocre performers).
Look for a bunch of Palace Cinemas and Tumbers to be flooding the market a few years down the road lol!
I had my fair share of Home Ones when I first go into the lego game so I know what it is like to sit on a big pile of losers. Never again.
What would be awesome would be Disney Haunted Mansion.
I really wish they would do some large Disney Park sets for collectors.
Sure, there were some sets left that were discounted when the product's shelf space time was up, but that seems to be true of all themes.
I'm guessing that is also why LEGO did not make a ton of 'The Zombies' sets.
The Series 1 Zombie is also that expensive because it is a rare in a rare series of CMF, and was not added to BaF like the clown and the cheerleader were, also they have had other clowns in later series as well as other similar types in later series (Robot, caveman, Clowns, Cheerleaders, etc). Also LEGO did not make any more zombies until the MF and The Zombies set, but if you notice the Zombie from the Halloween Accessory set and the chauffeur tend to not do a lot because they were in easily accessible sets.
I think MF is a line that will return, but later. I think LEGO wants to keep alternating their unique lines to keep interest up in other ideas.