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Predictions on Discontinuing Sets and their Secondary Market Value

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Comments

  • piratemania7piratemania7 New EnglandMember Posts: 2,108
    I just don't see the movement on JP. After the initial scare with everyone thinking the set was doomed and TLG would quickly discontinue it I think it's had a slow progression to the back seat.

    I see this set holding value certainly but with so many revamps prevalent in this theme and with newer figures sure to pop up I doubt this set will be much more.
  • wrangler6915wrangler6915 USA - Lincoln NEMember Posts: 502
    ^Target has JP on sale right now for like $78 and change. Redcard takes off another 5% plus free shipping. I thought that was a good enough deal to grab one more
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    ^ Thanks for the heads up, I think that is a few dollars cheaper than it was a day or three ago...

    Target has increasingly been interesting in some deals, and when price is the same, red card gives 5% more off than anyone else.

    My only challenge with red card is that my purchase limits are fairly low, it takes a few days for them to reset, so that can suck when a good deal comes out.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    FB is dropping slowly, but steady, on Amazon... down to 78 of them...

    Should we do a countdown here, or is this one worth an "official countdown thread"?
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 18,457
    FB is still available at [email protected] (UK).
  • ColoradoBricksColoradoBricks Denver, CO, USAMember Posts: 1,649

    My only challenge with red card is that my purchase limits are fairly low, it takes a few days for them to reset, so that can suck when a good deal comes out.

    @LegoFanTexas, pay it cash at CS desk, it is reset right away. I once done two transaction back to back that max out my very low limit (was a new card) but with a cash payment in between.
  • FenrisAkashiFenrisAkashi Member Posts: 242
    For Target today don't forget the 5 off 29 Lego coupon on their site, expires today though. Will be doing some PMs to Amazon of TLR later today instore.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    67 FB left at Amazon...
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Does anyone else think we might be surprised by 10211 going out without warning this year?

    It has been out of stock at Amazon for awhile, and frankly it seems like we have too many modulars...

    Thoughts?
    FollowsClosely
  • BumblepantsBumblepants DFWMember Posts: 6,259
    ^I have been worried about that, I really want it but don't have money to spend on one right now.
  • BrickarmorBrickarmor USAMember Posts: 1,257
    Yes, I have considered that too. I'll be putting mine away until January, and if it's still around then I'll part em out. Same with 10229, just a longer wait. My other "what-if" is 10225, but I'm crossing my fingers that it lasts at least until May 4th.
  • mathewmathew Member Posts: 2,098
    edited November 2013

    Does anyone else think we might be surprised by 10211 going out without warning this year?

    It has been out of stock at Amazon for awhile, and frankly it seems like we have too many modulars...

    Thoughts?

    I thought your experts told you that it was going to be around until late 2014.

    Also you guys are forgetting that Target, Walmart, and [email protected] all have remaining Fire Brigade inventory. So until those retailers sell out any sort of Amazon countdown is frankly idiotic. Strangely, Target still carries GE but it's $160.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    mathew said:

    I thought your experts told you that it was going to be around until late 2014.

    1. They have been wrong before, in both directions.

    2. Even if they were correct 6 months ago, that doesn't mean TLG can't change their minds.
  • TrenthTrenth Member Posts: 162
    ^^ wow did you have some sort of traumatic countdown experience? I think the whole countdown thing keeps it fun and lighthearted in here. Of course people know that there is other sets to be found, but the depletion of Amazon's stock, I would think, is a huge milestone.
  • FollowsCloselyFollowsClosely Member Posts: 949

    Does anyone else think we might be surprised by 10211 going out without warning this year?

    It has been out of stock at Amazon for awhile, and frankly it seems like we have too many modulars...

    Thoughts?

    I have my stock ready. Would not surprise me one bit as it is way post the typical eol
  • mathewmathew Member Posts: 2,098
    Trenth said:

    ^^ wow did you have some sort of traumatic countdown experience? I think the whole countdown thing keeps it fun and lighthearted in here. Of course people know that there is other sets to be found, but the depletion of Amazon's stock, I would think, is a huge milestone.

    Sure, the IS countdown was fun. But what is the point if every other major retailer still has inventory? I think we all pretty much know it's retiring in the near future.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,891
    It's the one-two punch that I always look for. A) [email protected] sells out, B) Amazon inventory runs out. A countdown is always fun and it's been waaaaayyy too long since the last.
    FollowsClosely
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,613
    edited November 2013
    I dunno if this means much, but I noticed the following sets are listed as unavailable from Amazon:
    Horizon Express
    Grand Emporium
    Tower Bridge.

    Does anyone else think we might be surprised by 10211 going out without warning this year?

    It has been out of stock at Amazon for awhile, and frankly it seems like we have too many modulars...

    Thoughts?

    I have my stock ready. Would not surprise me one bit as it is way post the typical eol
    I would not be surprised. I thought it could go last year to be honest, plus again Amazon.com seems to have been out of the GE for a while now.

    As for watching FB running out at Amazon.com, it is not idiotic because that is the 'frog' in this experiment. Once Amazon.com runs out then it is only a matter of time before panic buying starts at other retailers and then they are gone there as well (as Amazon.com still is the best price at retail due to free shipping and no taxing in most places)
    Heck I have been tempted to get another FB and GE just in case, but I have other things to buy for Christmas at this point
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,613
    edited November 2013
    #41999 now officially listed as 'retired product' at US [email protected]
    #79010 Goblin King Battle now showing as Sold out on [email protected] US site at this time.
  • LEGOCollector2504LEGOCollector2504 Member Posts: 30
    75023 Star Wars Advent Calendar is listing as sold out on US [email protected] site. Does anyone know if the set is gone for good? I was hoping to grab one at a post-christmas sale or reasonable discount.
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,613
    edited November 2013
    Sold out usually means sold out. LEGO could find more, but it is likely they are sold out as they are seasonal advent calendars. Which is strange as they are way too overpriced to begin with but maybe LEGO made less this year due to them having a lot last year. I would say check retail stores for any surplus, sales

    SSD is also listed as call for availability
  • LobotLobot UKMember Posts: 971
    Does anyone know what is happening with #75014? It's current showing as 'Sold out' in the UK, but it's a (relatively) new set....has it been discontinued?
  • gmpirategmpirate Member Posts: 1,654
    !

    75023 Star Wars Advent Calendar is listing as sold out on US [email protected] site. Does anyone know if the set is gone for good? I was hoping to grab one at a post-christmas sale or reasonable discount.

    Prior to two years ago, they underproduced. Last couple years they have overproduced. I imagine its not an easy call to make given the limited time to sell those things.
  • makmak Member Posts: 300
    ^ omg! It is finally going
  • iluvmyelementiluvmyelement Member Posts: 52
    down to 46 FB's on Amazon......I bet they will be gone by tomorrow.
  • jasonord69ajasonord69a UKMember Posts: 421
    I wouldn't get too excited yet. This is the sets availability according to the search results.
  • stevemackstevemack 1567km Drive From BillundMember Posts: 903
    Showing as Call to check availability on UK [email protected]
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    FB is down to 40 on Amazon...

    That might or might not mean anything yet, after all, as has been pointed out, it is in stock everywhere else.

    My local LEGO store is out and has been out for a few weeks, they of course claim that they aren't getting more and that it is going, but they said that the past two years, so that means nothing.

    It is in stock, ready to ship, from [email protected] US site.

    It has been out 4 years, it needs to go. :)
  • 111ins111ins Member Posts: 265
    ^ yes and 10188 too, maybe this week...
    that would be a nice Christmas gift for everyone waiting to sell them after hanging onto them for the last three years or so when there was a panic and everyone stocked up
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    The really sad part... 10188 isn't going this year, from everything I've read and been told, it will stay until the next of next year.

    Boo! :)

    FB is down to 35 left...

    For the record, SSD and DS both show over 1,000 in stock...
  • sweetness34sweetness34 San Diego, CA.Member Posts: 327
    `when exactly is the next of next year?
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    :) end of next year... clearly typing on autopilot...

    hopefully I don't type something really intelligent by mistake! :)
  • samiam391samiam391 A Log Cabin in KY, United StatesMember Posts: 4,322



    hopefully I don't type something really intelligent by mistake! :)

    Well, it would be a first. ;o)
  • stevemackstevemack 1567km Drive From BillundMember Posts: 903
    Expect the unexpected :)
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Down to 27 left... someone has been buying tonight...
  • monkeyhangermonkeyhanger Member Posts: 2,938
    Lobot said:

    Does anyone know what is happening with #75014? It's current showing as 'Sold out' in the UK, but it's a (relatively) new set....has it been discontinued?

    Still plenty of these at TRU UK. Bought 2 for £54 recently, haven't opened them yet for my Hoth display.

  • SupersympaSupersympa SwedenMember Posts: 534
    @lobot
    yes #75014 is sold out, and has been for a week or so.
  • flyingpigflyingpig Member Posts: 119
    yeah, the question is how many TRU has stockpiled for #75014
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Sold out doesn't mean retired... it could... but one doesn't have to follow the other...
  • Steve_J_OMSteve_J_OM Cork, IrelandMember Posts: 950
    I hope it isn't gone, I have one but would have liked another couple before it went (for Hoth display ambitions rather than reselling). Having only come out this year that would be a pretty short shelf life.

  • luckyrussluckyruss UKMember Posts: 872
    It would be the next in what feels like the trend of store exclusive sets that seem to have a shorter shelf life than others, so wouldn't be surprised if it was retired.

    Although of course we can rely on TRU to stock most things after EOL, they have more than 100 online in UK.
  • flyingpigflyingpig Member Posts: 119
    TRU put them on sale last week for $25 and had a TON. I'm guessing they have a lot left...
  • SuperTrampSuperTramp City 17Member Posts: 1,021
    Is the £90 at John Lewis the best price we are going to see on the FB. im thinking off buying 10 this morning but don't want to if its going to be around another year.
    Daragh
  • JT32JT32 BasingstokeMember Posts: 124
    ha I wish I knew the answer to the FB question, as do many others. I seem to have been sat on my stock forever, could this really be the end?

    The John Lewis deal at £90 is decent though, they have 267 left in stock.
  • bp10030bp10030 europeMember Posts: 102
    #10197 sold out now at [email protected] europe
  • vitreolumvitreolum RomaniaMember Posts: 1,406
    exciter1 said:

    Retirements at Shop.Lego.com today:

    #9474

    Available again with 99 order limit:

    http://shop.lego.com/en-GB/The-Battle-of-Helm-s-Deep-9474
  • Pacific493Pacific493 Member Posts: 379

    Lobot said:

    Does anyone know what is happening with #75014? It's current showing as 'Sold out' in the UK, but it's a (relatively) new set....has it been discontinued?

    Still plenty of these at TRU UK. Bought 2 for £54 recently, haven't opened them yet for my Hoth display.

    My local Lego store in the U.S. had a "retiring soon" tag on the Battle of Hoth set when I stopped in last week. If it does indeed retire this year, that would be an incredibly short lifespan.

  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 18,457
    vitreolum said:



    Available again with 99 order limit:

    And that is only because they don't go to three digits in the drop down, you can place more than one order if you want 100+.

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