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The problem with these big UCS ships is that at the European price level they are too expensive meaning there's relatively little room for them to increase in value. Take the IS for example. If someone in the US bought it on a decent discount then there's some profit to be made. But the aftermarket price has only just barely surpassed the European RRP by now. It has EOLed 8 months ago and I can still buy it in about 5 different online stores at RRP in my country.
I bought a single IS at 15-20% off and I'm starting to regret even that one.
Or... TLG just made a move that is going to rock us all ;)
That or some resentful ex-IT-employee left a nasty virus behind.
Chima armies are storming the gates.
I think both the B-Wing #10227 and IS #10212 will do well, obviously #10212 will do better. I just think that sets will and are taking more time to appreciate, more so then previous sets.
The ever increasing number of sets that TLG is pumping out & the extended shelf life of said sets has an affect on the after market. You have more sets to buy plus more time to buy them. This means that there is less time and money to be worrying about older sets.
Unless a set is only out for a year or two and then disappears with out warning (Such as The Zombies) it's just going to take more time.
I still think HH will be out for several years, but if it retires this year, the sky is the limit.
The other thing that can surprise is that we're all expecting FB to retire first, but what if GE or PS (or both) are retired first, and FB is kept? Would that not shock most people?
Zombies was here, then gone, faster than you can blink... Which explains the $130+ price point. :)
It does appear that 2-3 years was the median length that a set was available for previously, it is now starting to head towards 3-5+ years*. This obviously will alter how a set performs in the after market.
(*This is just my perception, but it is at least true for some sets I haven't actually looked at the overall numbers)
I can't see the sopwith being out for 3 years but i don't think it really matters as havnt alot of people agreed that ones going to be a sleeper?
Sopwith Camel is an great set and one of my favourites so I would not be surprised if it does well, until they re-make it for the third time at least.
I just do not see the HH going past Christmas, but that is just me. If we had a nickel for every time someone heard, or said, FB is 'definitely gone this year'......
There are large and small versions of the LEGO store, we have one of each in Dallas. The smaller store carries far fewer sets than the large store does, there just isn't room for them all.
FB indeed should go this year, but we said the same thing last year, and the year before.
What if FB is still selling, but GE and PS have slowed down? If the new cafe is a corner, what stops TLG from retiring GE and PS now and leaving FB on the market?
Nuts, I know, but they could...
Can you say what else is only available through 12/13?
Btw, retail for SSD in Romania is ~$600. Talk about marking above retail.
I agree with the out going sets though. I fully expect FB and GE to be retired by March.
Everything points to it being retired already. I think doriansdad is the only one from who I heard that it's coming back for another Christmas season.