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Many 10's of thousands of boxes, some one mentioned that for instance in the US there is around 4000 Walmart's and that the would all get at least 1, but probably many more. So world wide a lot of boxes.
I may go the eBay route on this one, once the price stabilizes. I have a reasonable price point in my head, but if the prices get crazy, forget about it.
I wouldn't be at all surprised if the odds of finding one of these in a box were 1 in 100 or even 1 in 500. It's such a long shot that I won't even bother looking for it. If I happen to stumble upon one I'd buy it, but I will consider my collection complete without it, especially since I missed out on some Series 1 figures and can't justify the prices they command, much less what this figure will sell for.
BTW, how can you consider a collection complete without every minifigure? Maybe you can make q case for Mr. Gold or even Team GB, but not minifigures within the Series, especially the most sought after Series.
For the CMF Series, Team GB is absolutely mandatory because it's still CMF and still reasonable to pick up. I just grabbed a couple sets in the $60 range, just in case Mr. Gold creates a new wave of CMF collectors.
But a search for gold, was zippo.
A sealed, 99.9% verified Mr. Gold, or opened Mr. Gold, are the only two I'll be looking for on the Bay.
What finding one isn't prize enough? :P
So my question now is, Mr. Gold is real Gold???
Regardless of if Mr. Gold is listed as part of the range by LEGO or not, he's going to be a benchmark and expensive gap for all those who collect CMF's.
As to numbers of boxes produced for each series I should imagine TLG will produce more for S10 as after all is the point of including such a figure to shift more units!!
If continued, will he be the same or different each time?
If he's a 1 series special then the price will be higher, but if there are going to be one different one per series you'd have to be bonkers or minted (or most likely both) to chase them all down, and if it's the same one over many series then everyone will just wait until there are more about.
I've currently got every CMF, including the Team GB stuff, but there is no way I'll be going mad searching for this figure and I'll still consider my collection complete (to me) without him.
If there are 5,000, and Lego is sold in around 50 countries, that's 100 figures per country. And for that reason, I'm out of this hunt.
I appreciate we should get more than our 100 in the UK but if the distribution is truly randomised then the odds of going into a shop with a box with the hope one of the 60 will be him still won't be good; especially if news of the value gets out and shop workers have chance to go through the boxes whilst they are quiet. Lego B&M shops probably get the most boxes per store in the UK and we know their staff packet feel (I know I would), what will happen if they come across one?
I'd say the Lego store would be the worst place to get them, as their staff will have the knowledge and resources to get them first. Better in a store with staff where whould be frowned upon for feeling them, or the boxes were kept behind the counter so other customers can't get to them first, like a Smiths.
Surely most parents aren't going to keep buying and buying in the hope of randomly getting one of only 5000 figures are they?
This seems to me to be the sort of promotion where you get kids that don't normally get a CMF to buy one or two in the vain hope of getting them, just like in Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, rather than kids endlessly buying swaps.
It's a promotional gimick that seems like it will nark off everyone other than the 5000 luck enough to get one, and could end up alienating lots of AFOLs who have full sets up until now and may not bother from this point on. If they were going to do this it would be better done in the last ever CMF series as that would drive us AFOLs crazy to complete all series.
I'm not too bothered as I am not a collector of the series, rather a collector of particular minifigs that I like. But if I collected them all I would feel OK if I had just the 16. Nice to have 17, but not disastrous if I didn't.
Want a complete collection of Kanohi (the first series of collectibles)? To get all the ones in the basic Kanohi packs, that's over 72 different masks.
How about Krana (the early 2002 collectibles)? 92 varieties, not to mention the twelve metallic-colored Kanohi they come packaged with.
Kanohi Nuva? You're in luck, just 36 to collect this time, and hey, you get Krana in these packs if you missed your chance earlier.
Krana-Kal (metallic-colored Krana)? 48, plus six silver Kanohi Nuva. But here's where things get interesting. The Bohrok-Kal canister sets which normally come with one of six Krana-Kal had a chance of coming with white metal or sterling silver Krana-Kal instead. Metal collectibles had previously only been released as contest prizes. There were only 5000 white metal Krana-Kal and 72 sterling silver Krana-Kal in existence!
And now we get to Kraata. These were the most difficult normal collection to complete. A Kraata pack included three random Kraata out of six shapes and 36 color combinations. Rahkshi sets each included one of six shapes in one of six color combinations. In addition, later production runs of the Rahkshi sets included purple "Shadow Kraata" instead of their usual color combinations, and a special-edition transparent orange Kraata was included with BIONICLE sneakers. A full Kraata collection thus included 259 Kraata!
Randomly-packed collectible packs continued in 2004 and 2005, but they were no longer marketed with a "collect them all" model or checklist, instead simply offering colors and patterns of collectibles you might not get in other sets and codes for online rewards.
The collectible packs were eventually discontinued, but nevertheless lots of fans clamored to have them back until the BIONICLE theme itself ended. They were not considered "unfair", and completing a collection was rightly viewed as a lofty, nigh-impossible goal, not something a fan was entitled to with minimal expense and effort. The "chase" items like metal collectibles were likewise things fans considered themselves extremely lucky to have, not things that ought to have been more widely available.
The same really ought to apply here. Mr. Gold is probably a fair amount more expensive to produce than the average CMF, even if he has a chrome gold finish instead of actual metal or metal-plated parts, and he wouldn't even exist if not to serve as a chase figure. So if you don't manage to acquire one, it just means you weren't one of a handful of extraordinarily-lucky individuals. It's no blemish on your record as a collector nor a sign of "parental favoritism" on TLG's part. It's just random chance, and I think even kids will be bright enough to understand that.
There are collectors of CMF's and there are collectors of Lego Minifigures and there are collectors of rare and hard to find minifigures. Mr. Gold is all of the above. If you you have to say he's not part of the CMF collection to justify not getting him, well...whatever you have to tell yourself.
Thanks in advance!