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Unfortunately Zombies had a very limited availability over here but luckily I bought 8 of it right when it came out at about 10-15% below local RRP. That was some good foresight.
I really liked those for parting out!
Great one down there @Roxio!
If that was my 10196 I would have sold it at Xmas and bought 8x DA. That £800 would have turned in to £1600 in 2 months. I would then take that money and buy something else due to be EOL buy Xmas 2013.
I don't know, may be you already have 8+ DA...
It's easy to look back on it now, and say yes, I would have bought 8+ DA, and known that it was going to rise at a rapid pace. However, back a month+ ago, there was little to no certainty about how DA would do in the aftermarket. Scroll through the pages on here, and you'll see people going back and forth on the aftermarket of HP sets. Most agreed it would be a winner, but a few, at the same time, did not.
I think most people would prefer to roll with the steady 10196, that they know will continue to increase at a steady rate, than take a gamble and purchase 8 DAs and not know at what price it would increase at. A comment like that is unfortunately associated with hindsight bias.
Buying and reselling like that, is easier said than done...
It's also easier to sell 1 set off, as opposed to 8. Storage comes into play, as well. Easier to store 1 10196, than to store 8 DA in a closet. Especially someone with extremely limited space. My own place would be an example, where my family would kill me if I turned a decent sized set, into 8 sets that take up even more space.
Anybody that told you DA was not going shoot up probably had loads in the basement and didn't want anybody else to stockpile them.
Please - somebody stop me before I give all the secrets away.
To be honest, any sets I re-sale, or get information on, I get so from my own intutition, but I also rely heavily on this forum.
To suggest that their are people on here that are attempting to mislead, would be completely incorrect. The Brickset forums definitely take pride in the numerous amounts of honest people that post day in and day out on here. Everyone is always seeking to help each other, and provide as much information/advice as possible. Granted, they are all opinions (as we've had a discussion on before ;-) ), but I must say that they are very strong/excellent opinions.
That aside, yes, there was speculation on how it would do. Like I said, lots of people thought it would do well, but on the rate of increase of the set, no one could say for certain.
Now that we are some time removed from the EOL of Diagon Alley, it's easy to say such things as "Could have stocked up on 8 more and made so much more profit!" However, you'll find such statements as those are the same lines used for other sets that EOLed and people regretted not getting, such as 10179 for an example. An operation of hindsight bias, which plagues us.
We can make guesses, but we can't state fact, until the set has been EOL for at least a small period of time.
No doubt, some people may have done what you suggested/inferred. However, others prefer to keep with the safer set that they know will continue to rise at a steady rate. No doubt DA would go up, but at what rate was completely up in the air.
They'll always be a difference of opinion on it, as some are risk takers, and others are not.
For every set that EOLs, there is a reaction in selling and buying price. Each time this happens, those who study the market, often post here. It's really great info, and nice of people to share it. We gain just a little more info to help decide future acquisitions.
We all have the option to agree, disagree or ignore it.
I wonder if Taj will ever catch 10179?
I can pick up a number of these for $58AUD ($61USD, £38 or €46) 17% off AU RRP, as I do not usually sit on many sets I'm not sure how much money I want to sink in to them, one concern is that an AU seller sold a bunch recently for $58BIN, but none are available from AU sellers now, and the next cheapest is $118 shipped from Korea. Ill probably grab a few any way, but would be interested in others thinking on this set over the next 6-12 months. Thanks
Honestly, I was not very impressed with the build or the finished set. The truck is cool but the coffins have some design flaws. Most people snatching this up will either be going for the just the minifigures or because they want the complete MF line.
Still, ebay sales show the price of NISB copies going for over $90 with some regularity now. I might have to just order the zombie bride and groom on their own and dump the set. So tempted to hit the Targets in my area to see if any are still hiding on store shelves.
Well I only grabbed 3 x #9465 at this stage. I do not normally hang on to sets too long so didn't want a bunch sitting around. I listed one on ebay.com.au, it is the cheapest one available at the moment, though not sure if it will sell but if not that's ok I'll keep them for a while.
On another note Target Australia got some more #10217 Diagon Alley's in and are selling them at $100 below AU retail ($179), so I ordered a couple via their online layby (Lay A Way), I figure that I may as well hold off paying for them in full for a couple of months, would have been great if they had their 6 month layby as they did in July last year.
I had 2 on sale before Christmas and sold 1. You dont get that many people prepared to pay so much for sets but they are out there. And your right I actually do have 8 DA's (weird =S)
I also do not need to sell to free up money to invest. My main problem is storage. Before xmas I was investing mainly in imperial shuttles and a few more Diagon alleys. I only do this on a small scale, nothing compared to LFT but it is not down to available funds, its down to the fact I have nowhere to put it or the time to do the buying and selling on a mass scale.
Diagon Alley will go up. This is a speculation thread, so anyone's guess is as good as mine on how much it will go up. I actually wanted to buy a few UCS MF's for $2,000 last year and sit on them and sell them for $2,800-3,000 6 months to a year later. I was laughed at and one person on here actually did that and made a $900+ profit after Ebay fees.
As far as the Taj Mahal, I have been wondering the same thing. It has really been jumping in price over the past couple months (at least on ebay). I'm also curious to see how high the Eiffel Tower and 10196 will get by this time next year, as I think they will both continue to steadily increase in value, and have not hit yet it a plateau.
I know this is a previous version of 10231. Do you think we can ask Lego for service pack to make it like 10231?
I did buy too early as they still have some way until EOL so they obviously take up a lot of space, but the low purchase price justifies it for me. I cant see it doing a Taj Mahal but it should be a nice investment.
We own a salon and the opposite works in that business model. We do a lot in volume rather than charging a lot for each cut. That way we can keep our prices low and under "cut" the competition. Pardon the pun :)