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2. Pay with PayPal and you are essentially fully protected.
3. It wasn't mentioned before that it's at 150 USD on eBay with free shipping so I assumed that figure was without shipping.
Unless I specifically specify AUD or AU RRP.
I agree it is confusing though.
I can only blame myself for this. :(
I also notice that TRU is now out of MMV #10193
TLG had a nice sale on them last Christmas (2011).
I suppose I can move on now.
You need to put a disclaimer on your post if you are going to pass along information like that :P
We expect the Cottage and Post Office to come back later in the year, now the question is are they going to bring the Bakery back or have a brand new Winter Village themed set to replace it, or maybe nothing new this year and they will keep the current 3 sets? Of course this means all those who have all three will have nothing new to buy, TLG potentially misses out on some sales.
I suppose the other option is they continue with all 3 current plus a new one, but then there is issues with production and shelf space etc.
one thing you can definitely bake on is a new set in the series
My point this entire time was that we have concrete data from two large marketplaces that suggest people simply were not buying the Minecraft sets at the stated price point at the stated rate. In an effort to fill in your purported straw man fallacy (which my argument really isnt) I've presented the following comparisons to guess Amazon's volume: my own experience of selling on both platforms; the fact that there are on average 3x more eBay listings than Amazon listings for any given set; the similar website traffic rankings; the similar amount of active registered users on both sites. All this points to their volume being at least in the same ballpark. But again, for the sake of argument, I'm willing to just allow you to assume Amazon marketplace volume is double, even triple, of eBay. Yet that's not enough! It needs to be eight times the volume to move what LFT was claiming.
It's fairly obvious to me that LFT was shooting off the cuff when he threw that number out there. Doing so was careless, but if people truly are taking it with a grain of salt, then no harm was done. But immediately after people were thanking him for being so refreshingly honest. That indicates to me that people were being misguided. The fact that you are still incredulous to the absurdity of the claim is altogether stupefying, and I don't think any more reason, logic, and educated guessing will do any good.
So pardon me for "beating a dead horse". Although I don't think my posts were preventing the typical endless repetition of counting down the same handful of sets interspersed with inane drivel of Star Wars quotes, I understand now that people want the drivel continuous and uninterrupted.
I suppose shelf space is not as big an issue as it use to be with the likes of Amazon etc. I just hope TLG don't saturate the market with to many sets at once. I'm looking forward to a new Winter Village set, I think TLG should stick to the current formula and have a 3 season run on each.
I just noticed #10217 Diagon Alley is back in stock at TRU for actual RRP.
I have 2,857 Death Stars if anyone would like one. Soon to be EOL, don't you know.
If no online retailer has any, I'm going to post a wanted thread on forums. lol
This will be $200 by Christmas, don't wait if you want a copy.*
*disclaimer - the above is just my opinion, I don't have a crystal ball to know that for a fact, anyone using that opinion to go spend real money does so at their own risk
That being said, why only double your money in three years? You can do much better than that. For instance, if you can make 50% profit on a set (instead of 100%), and you can do that eight times in three years, you will quadruple your money instead of just doubling it. I realize everyone has different preferences, but that's effectively the approach I've been taking, and it's worked out well. It seems less risky as well, since it's less time for Lego to release a new set that will lessen interest in an older set.
I was waiting until they have a 20% or 25% sale to grab some for resale as I have one for my own collection. I suppose I'll have to see if they have any left by then.
Of course the above dosn't work whilst you're waiting for something (usually EOL) to appreciate in the aftermarket, then you need to hang onto them for a year or 2, but that's not really for me from both a money and storage point of view.
The fact is that you based your entire argument on two data points that represent only a slice of the potential sales market. And I don't think that it is unreasonable to assume that the sales traffic on Amazon for a set like that would be many multiples greater on Amazon than it is on Ebay and BL. To go back to my example of the battlepacks that I sold, Brickpicker shows that 143 copies of the snowtrooper battlepack were sold on Ebay between September and November. I sold 1/3 of that amount in 3 days on Amazon and I am in no way, shape, or form a market leading reseller. So if a small reseller like myself is able to sell in 3 days 1/3 the amount that sold in 3 months on Ebay, it stands to reason that the sales potential on Amazon is far greater than you are assuming. The fact that you are remain incredulous about that simple fact tells me once again that you're talking out of your a** and your claim that you have bought and sold more Lego than LFT has ever seen in his life is a bunch of malarkey.
At the end of the day, I don't really care whether LFT's speculation was accurate or not and I don't think it was that big of a deal. If someone is going to run off and drop $100k+ into Minecraft on the basis of LFT's comment on this board, that's on them. What chaffed me was how big of an a** you were being and continue to be about what amounted to a fairly innocuous comment. And you'll never get any argument out of me about beating a dead horse...I do that for a living and am quite comfortable arguing points long past the point at which most people throw up their hands in frustration.
Note: It is understood that set values may go up or down and comments will not be used in a court of law..
The shutlle will do well long term. Lots of people grew up during the shuttle era and I think the set has a lot of cross over appeal with both women and non-collectors.
As a collectable for someone that wants all variations of LOTR / Hobbit minfiigs - yes.
But with The Council of Elrond set coming out (and the assumption it contain Elrond), for people that want a version of every character, no. That version is from a better era for most LOTR fans, and it will be cheaper. So it is likely to produce a temporary drop in price (or just a drop in sales if prices are not dropped), as people wanting a version of Elrond go for the other one.
That said. This set is now in year 2, so I plan to buy a few per month, and not wait for it to just vanish. In the past, I would have waited for BF or retail clearance late in the year. But as it stands now, that strategy is highly risky.
It's interesting that Toysrus website doesn't carry this anymore.