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Similarly, it could be argued that the Original Trilogy Star Wars is a slow seller (if compared only with Clone Wars, judging by the sets that get released), but of course we all know it would be insane to drop the OT line on that dodgy logic, as it still makes a huge amount. If LotR can hold it's head up, i think (and hope) it gets the support from TLG. After all, it might have a smaller fan base than Chima/Ninjago, but it would be a different fan base (and isn't promoted half as strongly by TLG, so that is to be expected).
LotR might just be struggling to find it's audience, as it's relatively new and has to compete with Star Wars, Ninjago, Chima, Modulars, CMF Series, etc, and might therefore be playing catch-up.
And it hasn't helped that the theme, which is of epic battles, has been promoted shortsightedly with a total lack of Battlepacks to build forces up - kids love battlepacks.
I think if there'd been a battlepack of Moria goblins (and i mean a proper one, with variation in the prints and armaments), another of Uruks (Saruman's army/Lurtz's Hunters), and another of Rohan guards with Elven bowmen, and perhaps even one with a Black Rider and hobbit/bree civilians, the range would be flying. Plus I agree that they are all overpriced to begin with, which again does not help in the 'battle for attention' on the toy aisle.
Plus i think TLG is being unimaginative with the potential of the theme. There are TONS of great and unique buildings in the LotR theme that TLG is really missing - Castle builders would be eating up Osgiliath sets, Minas Tirith sets, Rohan homesteads (Edoras). Pirates fans would be buying up Taverns (prancing pony) and period style houses. LotR has a lot going for it, but need TLG to give it some love. :o)
I think it is true what you say about castle fans and pirate fans buying specific sets. But then, why do this with a licensed set? If there is need for a new big castle set, make it unlicensed (and thus less heavy on licensed minifigs) for the castle builders. Anonymous taverns and period houses for pirate / medieval fans.
I was really miffed when they dropped the pirates line, only to then do a half-@rsed job with Pirates of Carribbean movies, so that we ended up with NO port royal/Tortuga/Desert Islands of any description, and no generic pirates to crew ships, and they completely dropped the ball by omitting to release a Flying Dutchman & Kraken - which should have been the Pirates equivalent of Jabba's Sail Barge and the Sarlacc. In the end nobody was happy.
I think rigidly sticking to a specific price-point format (which they obviously do with all ranges) is a bit lazy of them though, especially when a theme might not always warrant certain price tags (or could do with a few extra in a different range). Star wars gets oodles of cheap sets, as has Friends, which i think really helps keep the range in the kids hands. £10 sets are the bees knees for kids where i live, LotR has no £10 BP sets at all, which can't have helped.
I also see no reason why they can't have a theme that sticks to cheaper or more 'modular' based sets, that we could build up as our wallet will stretch to, rather than instantly lose fans with that instantly unattainable high price set (but that's a whole 'nuther subject, i guess).
Hmm, it's an interesting subject really. :o)
I didn't mind the Moria set. Caverns, mines, and other settings are immensely difficult to depict in LEGO since having them fully enclosed is usually completely unreasonable, both in terms of play value and pricing. The Moria set, like the Battle of Hoth set from a couple years ago, integrates some of the most memorable scenes from the location quite accurately, with just enough scenery to establish the scenes' atmosphere (this it does even better than the Battle of Hoth set, I think everyone will agree).
When i say Modular I don't mean incomplete, it should (when done properly) mean expandable to even greater play experiences by adding other sets in the range, and even extras of the same sets twice. It does mean more boxes (but smaller ones, as there's no large box so same space taken up on shelf).
Primarily It promotes multiple purchase across several sets (netting more sales of the same units) while broadening the consumer base at the same time via the lower price gateway. Win win win.
In many ways, a battlepack is an example of modular sales practice on a very small scale. They're a low price set (attainable and attractive to all), they work well in large numbers, and add value to other sets including itself, taking up small shelf size.
But how many Battlepacks would sell, if they were £30 and contained 12 figs? Not many, and they would be viewed as a failed design. But 4-figs-sets at £10 regularly sell in multiples, and lots of people can buy just one, broadening the appeal of a series.
(doesn't mean you can't have big sets too, but was just meant that big sets aren't always the best way to promote a theme, and can be broken down into bite-size chunks, for example, Helm's Deep could have been broken down into Gateway Toss, Breached Wall, Inner Sanctum... all viable play sets, lower price point individually, but potentially more revenue than a single set, with ther added bones that some of these sets will sell multiples (breached wall for example) and to a broader fan base on lower income.
If my son was six, he'd love to play with Goblin King, but I doubt I'd have let him see the movie
*helms deep and gathering being the exceptoions
Overall the sets seem to put about as much emphasis on appealing to adult collectors as they do on appealing to kids, using creative building techniques and realistic colors to evoke a detailed, evocative portrayal of each scene. Unless all the sets were designed as 1000-piece direct-to-consumer models for ages fourteen and up, I can hardly imagine how they could be made much more representative of their intended scenes. And if they were all huge, pricy, all-encompassing models, I imagine they would alienate several AFOLs just as they'd alienate several kids, because some AFOLs might not want to pay upwards of eighty dollars for a sprawling display model packed with far more detail than is necessary to reenact that setting's key scenes.
Without knowing it, the sets I have purchased are those that offer a close approximation to that of the movie. An Unexpected Gathering (I know, Hobbit, but close enough), Gandalf Arrives, and Shelob Attacks. When Orthanc is available, I'll be buying that as well. All the other sets seem to belittle the story.
I think LEGO knew that the LOTR theme wouldn't be in the top ten since it's more for AFOLS. If so, they would have produced quantities to match what they thought the demand would be. I think that's the case. I don't see a lot of LOTR overstock. So, I think LOTR will be considered a success relatively speaking.
Speaking of top grossing films, Avatar is number one. I think it would be great to see a LEGO theme based on that film.
Back OT, Orthanc is cool in movies and books...I just cant imagine it'll be "epic" in Lego. Now, I might be wrong. Goodness knows, it happens quite enough.
I suggest keeping an eye on things there...
I found this, not sure if has been mentioned
Just as long as the top of the tower doesn't have some massive flick fire gun on it too go along with them..
By far their most powerful weapon.
And they thought the all seeing eye was scary... psh.
Also, somebody leak a decent photo of this set already!
Oh yeah, were was I? In response to your query. I don't have a clue. Maybe someone else does.
I do hope we get at least one more year out of it. They haven't even touched Gondor. I would love a $200 (cdn) style Rivendell set. Something that's not a pirate ship. Sigh. Cos when I think Lord of the Rings, I think pirate ships.
http://ceeteamblog.com/2013/04/26/tower-of-orthanc-unveiled/