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Again, I might be all wrong on this?
Forgot to add in my post, that with all those bare or nearly bare aisles, the Lego aisle was fully stocked. For anyone who gets squeezed because their income decreases, they're in a rough spot due to investments, worry of what the future holds, they will not be spending the same money on Lego they might have otherwise. The money will need to go elsewhere.
Interesting note on stockpiling LEGO: The Canadian Prime Minister and his family are in self isolation after his wife tested positive for COVID-19 following an international trip. During a press conference on Friday he commented that he is working from home and his kids are "doing LEGO" to keep busy.
The slow spread of a virus we don't really know the mortality rate, but that we're pretty sure is only potentially lethal for at-risk people - it's a boring news story because it takes time to scrutinize statistics, work on a vaccine and employ strategies to flatten out the transmission rate.
There is nothing less sexy than educating people that the real risk is overwhelming the healthcare system all at once. Zzzzz...
Panic attracts eyeballs, so be prepared for ridiculousness until we get tired of it and go back to watching 'The Circle' and whatever the next bit of flashy nonsense emerges to take our attention.
It's not a coincidence that the 24/7 Coronapocalypse coverage started just about the time the US Democratic Primaries became very uninteresting. Not to be glib, but the same inertia of news coverage happens after school shootings, church bombings, etc. There's a feeling that this is the worst thing ever... until some other story takes our attention.
I'm sure if Tom Brady signs with the Los Angeles Chargers, suddenly Coronapocalypse will be less urgent.
Measured vigilance makes for boring headlines. Disproportionate coverage of people acting like lunatics on Black Friday, it helps elevate a crisis.
* this is assuming testing will also increase at the current rate, but the government have only promised to increase to 10,000 a day from 1500 (we're currently at about 3500 a day) - this means unless there are further increases, the testing system will be overwhelmed and very sick people in hospital won't even be able to get tested.
Given we're currently doing very little to stop transmission in the UK, I don't know how we can expect to see the growth rate for new cases falling any time soon to move us off this projection and in to a better scenario.
But the total number of deaths will increase, even if at a smaller overall rate. (My guess is that the mortality rate will be closer to the Korean number of 0.06%.)
Our municipality closed all of the schools and issued travel and social interaction restrictions. My office wants everyone to work from home.
The thing that worries me the most is Americans current consumption of guns and ammunition. There is currently a 3 day wait to pass a background check (usually 10 min) and ammunition is starting to get expensive and is harder to find. Especially 5.56 and 9mm,
I’ve got a fair amount of unbuilt sets and storage boxes/displays to sort at home, so the hobby won’t be affected too much in the short term here. Guess we’ll have to wait and see what that means for Spring and Summer releases.
Plenty of people will get sick until there are sufficient people immune to break the chains of infection.
Thus, atleast in the US, the virus will spread at a slower rate, and hopefully only among those best able to fight off the virus. (Which will avoid overwhelming the HC system, build up immunity and provide extra time for widespread testing.)
For my part I’m doing my best to avoid Corona and will be sticking to Maker’s Mark for the time being...
Washing my hands thoroughly, always!
I'm not going to say where exactly anyone should get the most up to date recommendations since that would go against everything I just typed.
Anyway, I don't really post here all that often and especially not about any current events so I hope this doesn't offend anyone. That's not my goal, I just want to make sure everyone can just ride out the restrictions and enjoy building without worrying about how all of this will affect their own or other people's health.
Back on topic, my LUG has cancelled their meeting scheduled next Saturday. It's usually in a pub and they are now under pressure to close so I think it will be under lock and key by then too.
I've also avoided my usual weekend Lego shop perusal and am just staying at home sorting instead. So I'm saving money and getting on top of my parts...a bit.
I was worrying how to say that because it was amounting to “take my advice: don’t take advice from a thread like this on the internet.”
But its true. Maybe listen to a health expert or a nonprofit health organization, perhaps one that can’t be swayed by the politics of one country.
& to sway back on topic, the virus has resulted in a lot of building time for me. If I run out of sets I’ll go rebuild some old UCS that I have in storage.
Locally, our County put out a series of press releases because a State infection figure had the wrong number. (2 instead of 1 - and people went a little bonkers.)