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Good Lego investment?

Hi, do you think any of these sets would be a good investment?

Comments

  • LuLegoLuLego UKMember Posts: 829
    A good investment in your time in building them!

    Money? Anyone’s guess. There’s a great thread here https://forum.brickset.com/discussion/1958/predictions-on-discontinuing-sets-and-their-secondary-market-value#latest
    which might offer some advice.
    madforLEGOmithridate
  • AstrobricksAstrobricks Minnesota, USMember Posts: 1,849
    ^ I’m glad you wrote that @akunthita, as I just couldn’t work up the energy :-/
    madforLEGOBumblepantsdmcc0Kerreakunthitadavetheoxygenmanmithridate
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 16,860
    Short answer: Yes, at the right price. Otherwise no.

    pharmjod
  • TokerToker CTMember Posts: 36
    With the amount of sets that Lego produces today, I can't imagine normal production sets being worth much in the future. Not to mention that they are now re-releasing or upgrading older sets that were in high demand, like the UCS MF and Taj Mahal.
  • PaperballparkPaperballpark UKMember Posts: 3,323
    Basically no. Take the Tron set, which is the only one which may be vaguely worth it. What's the RRP? £30? £40? (I can't remember and can't be bothered to check).

    Let's say it's £40. Let's also say that it will increase in value, and that you buy 100 of them (£4k) now, to sell in five years for maybe £50 each. Only you won't sell them all straight away, otherwise you'll single-handedly kill the resale price. So let's say you sell one per week. So it takes you two years to make a profit of £1k. In theory. But that's before ebay and paypal fees, which would take about 15 - 20% of that, and before you consider where you're going to store 100 of them for 5-7 years.

    Alternatively, you could stick £4k in a bank account earning 2% interest per year, and by the end of year 7 you'd have about £4,600, for doing nothing - no hassle, no storage needed, no angry buyers, no stress.

    Basically, once you take inflation into account, what you'd be doing is making about £200 for a load of work and hassle, over the course of 6 or 7 years.

    It's a mug's game.
    Addicted2OxygenLuLegoBOBJACK_JACKBOBklintonomnium
  • pharmjodpharmjod 1,170 miles to Wall Drug, USAMember Posts: 2,737
    As @ccc said, it's all about your buy in price and timing. If you get just about any of those sets near the end of their shelf life for 50% off or more, doubling your money in a year or two is very likely. But there are many variables to consider.
  • brianoblivionbrianoblivion NYCMember Posts: 69
    akunthita said:

     I do see an opportunity with the PF1 system, as I know many people don't like PF2 and are stocking up on PF1 components while they are still available. The change is not as drastic as from 12V to PF as the tracks for PF1 and PF2 are the same, but still the components of PF1 could sell well once they are no longer available from LEGO directly.      

    What is the issue people are having with the new Powered Up system? I have the two new city trains that utilize it and they both work really well.
  • DB361DB361 UKMember Posts: 177
    See I disagree with the verdict of Tron being the only one with any potential as I personally think it's massively overpriced at RRP. Burj Khalifa might make a couple of quid as Architecture sets normally do OK, but again put it this way - as a reseller it's not a set that's ever come on my radar to buy.
    Lego's an expensive thing to take a gamble on, so at the very least you've got to be clued up on how to actually make any money from it. If you're having to come on here to ask what sets might be worth money, then you're in the wrong game!
    dmcc0
  • datsunrobbiedatsunrobbie West Haven , CTMember Posts: 1,317
    I'm expecting to see a lot of Architecture sets on clearance at Target after the holiday rush, at least locally. Closest Target has a new section with them that I took a picture of back on November 3. Stopped in there on Saturday, same sets still on the shelves.
  • akunthitaakunthita USAMember Posts: 1,016
    akunthita said:

     I do see an opportunity with the PF1 system, as I know many people don't like PF2 and are stocking up on PF1 components while they are still available. The change is not as drastic as from 12V to PF as the tracks for PF1 and PF2 are the same, but still the components of PF1 could sell well once they are no longer available from LEGO directly.      

    What is the issue people are having with the new Powered Up system? I have the two new city trains that utilize it and they both work really well.


    It's just that PF2 is not compatible with PF1. Those who heavily invested in the PF1 system don't want to switch over to PF2. Of course, you can run both types of trains on the same tracks, but still, the components are not compatible, so you can't just mix and match for custom trains. There are some other features that are limiting. Like that the plugs can't be stacked, the limitations of the remote, the distance from witch the remote can operate, etc. It's not that PF2 is bad, it has some cool features too, but it's different, and again, not compatible with PF1. If someone is new to LEGO trains, PF2 is perfectly fine. There are a number of compatibility reviews on the two systems which goes into more detail. I like this one by Sariel:

    oldtodd33AstrobricksSeanTheCollectorPitfall69kiki180703
  • AstrobricksAstrobricks Minnesota, USMember Posts: 1,849
    I'm expecting to see a lot of Architecture sets on clearance at Target after the holiday rush, at least locally. Closest Target has a new section with them that I took a picture of back on November 3. Stopped in there on Saturday, same sets still on the shelves.
    I’d expect they would have moved some stock during the $10 gift card deal. 

    I’ve still never seen Architecture at a Target around here, so I hope clearance deals show up online.
  • Pitfall69Pitfall69 0 miles to Legoboy's houseMember Posts: 10,836
    I started with 9v Trains and what is great is that you can run all 3 systems on the same track :) I haven't played around with the PF2 yet, but just like the other systems; there are pros and cons.

    As far as those particular Lego sets; there isn't anything in that group that stands out as a great investment, although, as others have said; it is all about your buy-in cost. 

    I bet you that most Americans wouldn't know what "Burj Khalifa" is; in fact, most Americans still call the Tower Bridge the "London" Bridge. 
  • SumoLegoSumoLego New YorkMember Posts: 10,568
    I'm collecting for unborn AFOLs.  Does that count?
    MegtheCatPitfall69vwong19sid3windrgmonkey76kiki180703dmcc0
  • SumoLegoSumoLego New YorkMember Posts: 10,568
    Although I would note that there is a vibrant secondary/collector market - as with just about anything humans collect or create.  Folks collect Nike shoes and all sorts of possibly pedestrian items.  Antiques Roadshow is an actual thing.  

    But - with any market - sustainability is great until it isn't.  Beanie Babies.
    gmonkey76
  • Switchfoot55Switchfoot55 The Northwest, USAMember Posts: 1,260
    I collect root beer.  Tough re-sellers market on 12 year old root beer...
    sid3windr
  • AstrobricksAstrobricks Minnesota, USMember Posts: 1,849
    I collect root beer.  Tough re-sellers market on 12 year old root beer...
    Reminds me of the collections of full souvenir Coke bottles I’ve seen in antique stores.
  • piratemania7piratemania7 New EnglandMember Posts: 1,993
    Great thanks Bricksetters now I will be scrambling too for PF1 items! Because why not!
    Bumblepants
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