I've been a LEGO aficionado since October 2009, but only now (thanks to this amazing Forum), I am being able to follow the sales and actually see how the previous sales had played out thanks to the testimonials of some of the more experienced LEGO collectors that post on this Forum.
Back then I had no LEGO store near me. The closest one was at Downtown Disney 4 hours away from my home. Now I have 2 stores near: Sunrise, FL and Aventura, FL, and I am planning to take advantage of it on December, 26th, 2011.
So, what sets do you feel we can expect to be on sale for 50% or better that day? Here's my list:The easy ones:
Winter Village Toy Shop
Winter Village Bakery
Winter Village Post Office
Medieval Market Village
City Advent Calendar
Star Wars Advent Calendar
Star Wars Tantive IV
Star Wars Obi-Wan Jedi StarfighterThe not so easy to predict ones:
All 3 Xmas ornament balls (Gold, Green and Red)
Holiday Set #1
and Set #2
All Star Wars and Atlantis Magnets
6743 Creator Street Speeder
7639 City Camper
7641 City Corner
City Repair Truck
City Tank Truck
All remaining Toy Story sets (I think the Super Heroes will fill this spot)
Rebel Trooper Battlepack
Snow Trooper Battlepack
Imperial Flagship will be done before that, so I did not included it in.
What do you guys think?
The sets that were on sale during Black Friday seem shoe-ins for clearance and discontinuation. By inverse logic, MMV may be staying with us into 2012.
Emerald night is already gone, Imperial flagship is already gone....
I think the Camper will be on sale if they still have them, the city corner. Technic Crane, Technic Excavator, Maybe Lego Airport...
Fire Brigade (if it lasts). I have been told by LEGO store employees that the FB is on its way out.. but again that is opinion I think more than fact.
Again any old sets that are long in tooth..
I expect the Death Star and Dropship if still around, to be discounted possibly as they probably want to get rid of those..
Again only speculation, but I doubt anything sticking around will be discounted...
Also I notice that the store by me still has toy shoppes so I am guessing those will be discounted again as well (at least in the store).
Just because something is not availalbe online does not mean it will not be in the store, but I am guessing that the FB will be gone before then.... If not, expect a feeding frenzy
I can only hope LEGO would limit purchases, at least in the stores...
Yes, I understand why Walmart limits the $188 LCD TV on Black Friday to 1 per customer, it is a draw to get customers in the door. Clearance sales and general sales are not however...
You basically say 'tough luck' to someone who may have just wanted ONE for the kids or themselves but were waiting for a better price to pull the trigger.
I know LEGO understands this as they did limit to 5 per and a limit of 5000 during the pre Brick Friday sale, noting that resellers are one of the reasons for that policy.
I do get why people want to-either for resale or because of parts for other things that they want to build. I do buy duplicates of sets, but I'm not running into a LEGO store first thing when they open asking for all their stock of 75 dollar EN's (for example) sets either.
They gotta' make run for all the new Ninjago, DINO, Star Wars, Friends, DC Heroes...etc...
I already have 3 Apple Tree Houses but would love more, a great little ol' house for parts :D
The bakery and post office will be 30% off.
Would love to see a "treehouse" set, apartment complex, or millionaire home (aka Richie Rich).
Has the IS been a high demand set? From everything I've seen here it seems like all the attention is focused on the Deathstar. In addition, it appears the DeathStar will be hanging out for another year, so will LEGO keep both the DS and IS now that Super Star Destroyer is out?
Food for thought, comments most welcome.
Perhaps the LEGO city airport as well, and or the Yellow Cargo train as I do not see LEGO having two Cargo trains forever.....
Emerald Night and Winter Toyshop are retired already. Maybe a few sets left instore but doubt it. Bakery retires next year and Post Office in 2 years so no sale there. MMV and FB retire this time next year so no sale their either. Advent calendars will of course be on sale everywhere. Tantive looks like the only good chance of a solid sale. City Corner and City Camper also retired already.
Marketing heads got smart and learned alot from last year at the TLG. Slim pickings from now on at 50% off. Next year looks like Black Friday will be a good chance to snag MMV, FB and Bakery at 25% off.
Plus I have a suspicion that more will be out there than people are giving credit for... The Technic excavator has been out fo a while now, and the Bank which is a target exclusive, and we all know what happens with City Target exclusives... as well... so there are sets that could be discounted still (Then again there are still 2-3 weeks before this sale occurs so anything is possible