Predictions on Discontinuing Sets and their Secondary Market Value

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  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Of course, IF is now for sale back at shop.lego.com...

    For how long, who knows?
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    That's bizarre. I JUST got a message from TLG that my IF purchase (on backorder @ $121 each from the sale) was canceled because of overwhelming demand.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    So I bought 2 on Amazon for $150 each just to be sure I'd get it in case it blows up upon being retired.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Ditto, I have 3 on order from Amazon right now for that very reason. I had 4 purchased from Lego at the discounted price, plus 1 bought in the store, but I have no faith I'll get those 4 purchased over the weekend plus 1 more done this morning when it came back online for an hour.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    How long does it usually take for TLG to refund the purchases?
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Lego does not charge your card until they ship the item.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    No I mean when they cancel the order. I've gotten 2 of those cancellation emails this week.
  • OdinduskOdindusk Member Posts: 763
    If you've gotten a cancellation notice from Lego, it means that nothing was shipped to you yet. And thus, you were not charged yet.
  • GoldenT147GoldenT147 Member Posts: 1
    @LegoFanTexas - Please clone your wife or at least have her do a mind-meld on mine.
    Agreed!! :)
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,349
    edited November 2011
    Apparently the Village Raid is also sold out now as well.. Wow, wonder if that is a gaffe.. didn't it just come out this year?

    Also,
    My other order of Emerald Nights has now officially been canceled.. hope this means I get my VIP points back
  • andystarandystar Member Posts: 275
    Just got the cancellation from LEGO for the Imperial Flagship, I placed the order early morning of Nov 25th.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Bummer...

    Then my order this morning probably isn't going through, is it? :)
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Anyone watching 10188?

    Down to 710 on Amazon, just over 1 day ago it was almost at 1,000, they are selling at least 200 of them a day (sheesh, think of their shipping rooms!)

    Will they restock, or won't they?
  • andystarandystar Member Posts: 275
    Amazon has over 1000 IF right now, wonder how fast that will go once they cancellation emails really start going out in mass.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    I doubt they will last long. :)
  • Rollo_TomassiRollo_Tomassi Member Posts: 113
    I ordered an IF from Amazon. It kinda sucks though, because with the sale and 10% discount and my VIP points I was only paying $80 from Lego. Now I'm paying twice that from Amazon. Oh well, at least I'll get my VIP points back to spend on something else. Hopefully.
  • y2joshy2josh Member Posts: 2,002
    Battle of Endor is sold out again and already gone at retail at Amazon. Still some people selling it at only a ten dollar mark-up, for now. Though, if I recall correctly, a lot of people thought this set was dead over the summer, so I suppose it could come back again.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    Battle of Endor is sold out again and already gone at retail at Amazon. Still some people selling it at only a ten dollar mark-up, for now. Though, if I recall correctly, a lot of people thought this set was dead over the summer, so I suppose it could come back again.
    It's time for that sucker to get to bed. The Hoth Base now takes the lead.
  • Firox5000Firox5000 Member Posts: 60
    I reckon the fire brigade, medieval Market village will sell out with the next modular due next year and the kingdom joust set coming as well as the ot drop ship.

    On the main themes, probably all of toy story and Atlantis, Most of the first wave Ninjago sets, All star wars sets before 2011 apart from exclusives and big ones, all current hero factory and possibly pharoas quest.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    Any idea what the next Modular is? Thought I heard Town Hall before.

    Overall, it seems like a big # of good sets are ending over the next few months.
  • doriansdaddoriansdad CTCMember Posts: 1,337
    ^^ Thanks for the heads up Josh. Scooped a few at TRU with B1G1 50% off just in case they are gone for good this time. 8038 is an awesome set.
  • andystarandystar Member Posts: 275
    Update on Imperial Flaghip (posted to another thread also):

    My first IF order (8:56am Nov 25) is cancelled, but my second IF order (4:57pm Nov25) just shipped. It appears LEGO does not honor the earliest orders, but uses some other method to determine who gets the IF.

    I wonder what LEGO will say if I call and ask why the later order was filled before the earlier one.
  • kylejohnson11kylejohnson11 Member Posts: 508
    @andystar give them a call. I am interested as to what they are going to say.
  • BTHodgemanBTHodgeman Member Posts: 622
    @andystar - I'd wait until I had the IF in hand before I call LEGO and say anything ;)

    Brent
  • andystarandystar Member Posts: 275
    edited November 2011
    @andystar - I'd wait until I had the IF in hand before I call LEGO and say anything ;)
    Good idea, I'll definitely wait a day or two until the shipment tracking shows its left their facility.
  • Farmer_JohnFarmer_John USA - 4,035 Miles from 62 West Wallaby St., Wigan, Lancashire, UKMember Posts: 2,404
    Theoretically, the IF I ordered this morning from Lego is shipping per the CS rep. I even had the gall to ask for my 10% rebate since my earlier order from the 25th had been cancelled. The rep said the 10% was going back on my CC. We'll see what happens...

    On another note, I received multiple boxes from Lego today and my daughter said our neighbor almost crashed into his mailbox watching the FEDEX man stack them on our doorstep. Among the sets in those boxes were two ENs, so I don't have to sweat that anymore. Whew!
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,349
    I only picked up two ENs and 1 IF, partly due to lack of funds because of continuous sales around Black Friday and the VIP pre-sale the week before (mommy, make it stop) and partly due to the leeriness of the IF staying Sold out, but it does appear gone for good, same with the EN, but with the EN it was a matter of how many I could afford, and got my order in just in time apparently because about 1 hour later they were 'Check availability' which means they are pretty much gone, and then Sold out the next morning, with the IF selling out later around 11am my time If I remember correctly. and I got both Shipping notices so I know they are on their way. Just wish they would have had these sets on clearance/sale during the pre-black Friday VIP sale at the stores.
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,349
    edited November 2011


    On another note, I received multiple boxes from Lego today and my daughter said our neighbor almost crashed into his mailbox watching the FEDEX man stack them on our doorstep. Among the sets in those boxes were two ENs, so I don't have to sweat that anymore. Whew!
    This is why I usually work from home when I know I am getting boxes... one time I got about 8 boxes from UPS from a BOGO sale (including Death Stars) and I did not want them to have to drop them off at my apartment office. Then had to work from home the next day due to the 6 other boxes due to arrive that day... The UPS guy had fun that week, because on the 3rd day of BOGO my UPS gave to me.. 2 more boxes....

  • brickmaticbrickmatic Member Posts: 1,071
    edited November 2011
    Saw the IF on sale on Friday on [email protected], but waited to order and thus missed out on it because it was sold out by then. Bought a MVR instead. Then yesterday I dropped by the LEGO store and found two IF on sale with the same 25% discount. That and I got two Santa sets and three PAB boxes as a promotional offer. Win! Lesson to be learned: when online retail sells out check your local B&M stores.
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,349
    So the Public transportation station is now sold out along with the Battle of Endor... again...
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    And City Corner. I actually like that one more than Public Transport. City Corner is $45 on Amazon.

    If Public Transport had a complete rail line (monorail-ish but with overhang) with it ... it would have been a phenomenal set.
  • luckyrussluckyruss UKMember Posts: 872
    Any idea what the next Modular is? Thought I heard Town Hall before.
    I think that's right. If you remember the previous threads, we have to call it T*** H***. It's a bit like the UCS R*-D* that is also expected!
  • kylejohnson11kylejohnson11 Member Posts: 508
    edited November 2011
    ^UCS R5-D4? That's awesome ;)
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Ha! That is pretty cool... We do need an R4 to go along with R2...
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    ^UCS R5-D4? That's awesome ;)
    Nice. Lotta white bricks there.
  • Farmer_JohnFarmer_John USA - 4,035 Miles from 62 West Wallaby St., Wigan, Lancashire, UKMember Posts: 2,404
    So any thoughts on which set that has sold out over the past few weeks is going to garner the highest after-market value? Just curious what others are thinking along these lines.
  • YellowcastleYellowcastle Member Posts: 4,401
    If I had a dollar everytime someone started a death star EOL countdown... :o)
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    IF and EN will do well, but I think GE will go highest if it does retire now because no one wxpected it so there is not much reseller stock.
  • pcironepcirone Long Island, NYMember Posts: 346
    edited November 2011
    IF and EN will do well, but I think GE will go highest if it does retire now because no one wxpected it so there is not much reseller stock.
    Maybe YOU don't have much stock.. :)
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,876
    So any thoughts on which set that has sold out over the past few weeks is going to garner the highest after-market value? Just curious what others are thinking along these lines.
    Probably something nobody bought...like say... UCS Obi-Wan's Fighter.
  • MCNwakeboardMCNwakeboard VirginiaMember Posts: 269
    I doubt that the Grand Emporium is gone forever since TLG has it on back order till December.
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,349
    And City Corner. I actually like that one more than Public Transport. City Corner is $45 on Amazon.

    If Public Transport had a complete rail line (monorail-ish but with overhang) with it ... it would have been a phenomenal set.
    Agreed.. actually any track would have been nice.. even if only an oval...

  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,349
    I doubt that the Grand Emporium is gone forever since TLG has it on back order till December.
    Rumors of the GE's demise are greatly exaggerated :-)
    Again FB should be gone by the end of this year..
    Kinda surprised it is still around actually.
    I think this is part due to less people wanting a fire house as a modular, and also the batch fiasco they had with parts missing...
  • BillybrownBillybrown UKMember Posts: 748
    Just wondered why the VW Camper Van 10220 is showing as discontinued (29th Nov) on here when its just been brought out. I checked with a lego representative and they say it will still be in production next year as its a hot seller for them.
  • doriansdaddoriansdad CTCMember Posts: 1,337
    edited December 2011
    ^^ FB will be discontinued 12/2012 and the GE 12/2013 according to this list which is accurate so far and makes sense to me:

    http://www.bricksetforum.com/discussion/1008/offical-lego-discontinued-dates-direct-from-lego/p1
  • sidersddsidersdd USAMember Posts: 2,432
    ^ If true I just don't see how they can fit all these sets on their shelves, what with all the new stuff coming and all.
  • doriansdaddoriansdad CTCMember Posts: 1,337
    ^^ Well all HP will be gone save for Diagon Alley. The older city sets will be gone as well along with the Imperial Flagship. Lego instore does not sell the seasonal Winter Sets throughout the year either. Seems that would leave plenty of shelfspace for hotsellers.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    @doriansdad - I've seen that list, first it is worth pointing out that Lego does not publish such information, so calling customer service and having a rep give this over the phone is really just that person's opinion.

    The dates also don't make any sense, Lego has discontinued a modular set every year since they have been out, and Town Hall is coming out in a few months, do you REALLY think Lego is going to have 4 modular sets on the wall at the same time?

    HP is finished, I can't see Diagon Alley sticking around until Dec 2013, I doubt their license even runs that long, the movies are over.

    Of course only time will tell... :)
  • doriansdaddoriansdad CTCMember Posts: 1,337
    It has been accurate so far. As for 4 modulars at once my local Lego store only ever has 2 sets on the shelf while the 3rd is available online or thru other authorized resellers....I see no problem with 4 being available online or thru Toys R Us, Target etc. Given the bump the entire line will get from the mini modular sets then this marketing strategy would make sense.

    Given Diagon Alley was released just this year and it is easily the best HP set then 2013 would be the earliest it retires. I see no problem with 12/2013 being an accuarte retirement date.
  • madforLEGOmadforLEGO Chicagoland USMember Posts: 9,349
    edited December 2011
    ^ I think that Fire Brigade is a year off, I believe, judging by LEGO's past actions, it should be discon'd this year in Dec.. but I guess time will tell :-)
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