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Hell one of my friends was considering taking a short holiday USA way, just to get to see the LA premiere of Age of Ultron, cause he figured he might get to sit near Jackson or Downey. At the same time I know one of his cousins' is considering similar idea for Episode VII, I think both are nuts, but they are definitely not alone.
Several of these guys in both fanbases have come back to Lego recent times after seeing some of the sets I have, they all decided to play catch up & ignoring the clear cash grinding, bought all the sets they were after, one even paying US$230 for a Quinjet cause he couldn't bothered trawling the net for a cheaper one (similar stories for some of his SW sets too).
My biggest issue with that whole scenario was that I didn't think to buy a few extras when I bought mine... :(
I sold one of the two I got for $1,000. At the time it seemed like a good idea. I mean, how much higher can it go? I still have the 2nd one. Still sealed. I may never sell it. My Precioussssss......
:)
Which one do you like better? I tend to be more bullish on sets that I myself enjoy (though that's not always the correct approach to reselling).
I was all jazzed about UCS Slave I, but after looking at it more closely I'm not sure I see anything that makes me think so. The system set was completely satisfying. I fear that the UCS X-Wing will be the same, and I am sure that the UCS Tie Fighter is a "pass" for me. I am debating whether to pick up an X-Wing and/or Slave I to "hold." But if the aftermarket isn't going to do the same thing it did with the Imperial Shuttle, I'm not sure I want to tie up capital in those sets when there are other sets I would rather be building.
When it comes to detailed and intricate building, I guess the Modulars are enough to satiate me. Star Wars Playsets are different. LOVED the Death Star. LOVED the Ewok Village. Would LOVE Cloud City if they ever produce it. With that in mind, you would think that the Sandcrawler is a lock, but I just can't get over spending $300 for basically a giant box.
That said, hate to let VIP pass without a nibble, so I am also struggling with Sandcrawler, UCS Slave I, or UCS X-Wing. Thoughts and abuse welcome.
If I was getting into collecting 4 years from now and found out that there was a UCS Slave 1, I'd have to have it. I have to have a UCS Falcon and would have one if I made six figures hah but what I'm saying is that fans of licensed products have to love what they're buying for the prices to appreciate to uber levels. Imperial Shuttle? I don't care about it. Slave 1? Sign me up. You get the picture.
Yes, and I know scarcity plays a big issue, and if everyone thinks that Slave 1 will do bangers and buy gazillion of them, it will keep the prices down. But, I also think there will always be a market for it and it will consistently be a quick mover once it retires.
As a sidenote, I know that Lego hates resellers but the UCS Falcon example is a big reason why if I love a set, I just go ahead and buy it without obsessing over the purchase. I know if I want it after it retires, it's going to sting more than a little.
If I was to lament a missed opportunity, I would have bought many more #10190 Market Streets when they will still in production, but that is just me.
To me, at the time, 90 USD per Market Street and also the smaller size of the box (compared to the UCS falcon) would have been a lot more compatible with my wallet and also for storage.
As for UCS Slave 1: It is great.. until it retires and cheaper slave 1s are released.
The UCS Falcon is a bit different than a UCS Slave 1 IMO, as the other recent slave 1's that have come out have been closer to minifig scale than any other Falcons after UCS.
So if you want a UCS Slave 1 for yourself, go for it. However, I will not recommend hoarding those to sell later.
http://www.shopforme.com.au/index.php?main_page=product_info&cPath=34_37&products_id=977
As far as the UCS Slave 1, it is awesome and as a collector of Star Wars Lego, I think it will be a good investment no matter how many smaller scale versions they put out (currently 3 not including Jango's Slave 1)
LOL, I hope that is a joke. Otherwise you have been drinking the Kool-Aid our F##^ stick of a prime minister has been spruiking? That said if he does stay in power much longer things could turn terminal for Australia :(
Maybe a strategy others should consider.
Basta said: Selling the aussie all the way down to 35c within 3 years. No joke. I saw the writing on the wall when I went back home last March. It will be brutal.
Soooo... I now had an excuse that I could buy a tremendous amount of LEGO to build a huge city with my kids AND it would be an investment! Anyhow that thing has cost me a ton of money in a way, but I honestly don't know if we would have gotten this much into LEGO without it.
Thats my UCS Falcon story, and yes, sometimes I wish I would have kept it longer.
As for household debt, I'm guessing you're looking at Sydney or Melbourne? Cause they tend to like living on the plastic fantastic, I don't know so many peoples down our way that are that silly, I for one have no bank loans or credit cards, I own all I have outright.
So since the SOH is likely on the way out, which set do you like more: the SOH or SH?
As you say @Pitfall69the SOH doesn't seem that popular from an investment point of view, which to me means it could do well depending on when it actually goes.
My guess is that a larger proportion of those interested in the large Advanced models are the type of collector who wants to collect them all. At which point how long the set was available for and how many are available become a bigger influence than how popular the set was.
Interesting that Elves just came out on March 1 (per Brickset) and Amazon just discounted the first set #41074 by 30%. I don't remember that ever happening so quickly with DC/Marvel Superheroes, Technic, or even Ninjago sets when they were originally released. I do remember that happening with Chima though. I guess all that needs to happen now is for the free Elves sets to start showing up in my orders.
I had two and needed the money so listed them on ebay, Sold them both for £224.99 each when they were available at Lego for RRP.
I will say that it's one of those sets that is much more impressive in person. It's truly unique looking compared to say a UCS Star Wars. But I just don't personally like it enough to spend the $250 on it.
Too much money and space to tie up into a set IMO (never mind you will not really know when these sets go EOL it seems anymore)
Sea cow is a bit of an x Factor to me. Does the next movie have it? If not, will it be in the conscious of people enough to want one?
Like @mathew says, it is also hurt a bit by the double decker couch as well.
@TheLoneTensor put it best when he says it is 'goofy'. Are people going to pay a lot to display 'goofy' in their den or living room? Is LEGO movie really that iconic? No. whereas you buy and display Star Wars most people will guess that immediately if they do not know what it is already. Same with a VW camper Van or mini cooper, or SOH TB, etc.
As for Sea Cow being around $500 USD a few months after EOL? Well I doubt it highly, but it is someone else's money to spend, not mine.
I think people are drunk off of seeing prices of Creator architecture sets that had low production numbers, and SW sets that have EOL to rise that dramatically. You also cannot count the Imperial Flagship in this argument either as that is a true ship, complete with real sails as well and very detailed. You can display that even if you are not a true fan of LEGO, but love ships.
Sea cow is a fanciful lump IMO. I do Just not see people spending 500 USD for a lump to display. Maybe if the next movie prominently has it but LEGO does not re-release it. Otherwise I just do not see a demand for it.
The UK is only £1.5 trillion in debt, so technically it's not trillions yet.... ;)
And anyway, all of the politicians keep telling us that the deficit is reducing, but most people don't seem to understand that just means the total of our overdraft isn't increasing quite as fast as it was a couple of years ago! I just love how facts can be distorted so easily...(sigh)
Do people really spend £500+ on a lego set that originally cost £200 to tear the box open, build it, then let it sit on the side collecting dust?
Crazy...