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Comments
I really hope the Tumbler doesn't go away before I get one. I have missed out on a few UCS SW sets, which in the end it won't matter, but missing out on the Tumbler would not be good.
I'd assume the UCS X-Wing will be gone this year as well? Especially since the Slave 1 was just released and the Tie Fighter will be coming out.
I´m reselling pretty much small time so this is a fairly big investment for me :o
I disagree. Fire Stations are wildly popular and the reason why FBs are going for what they are going for now and not more like what a GE goes for now. FBs were constantly available on sale and via BOGO50s are TRU in their 5-6 year run, and they still got to where they are now. even though many 'poo-poo'ed' the set, saying it would not do well because of those reasons. GE, by comparison was really the same way, up until about 1 year before its EOL it was also readily available in sales and part of BOGO50s as well.
One of the few reasons why TH is pricey is it does not have many available from resellers, and many did not think much of the set to begin with, and least not for its 199.99USD price tag (so not many purchased it). It was a slow mover, but likely part of the cause to that was LEGO insistence on the exclusives sales ban in place for the US.
If these were readily available in sales for 150-175 they would have likely sold a lot more of them and even then you had those that probably would not have bought it.
However TH had far less people stacking those and coupled with the higher RRP the price will likely rise above FB nonetheless. But I think the FB is more popular than the TH, there are just more FBs to be had right now. If the stock availability were truly the same I think FB would be more expensive at this point.
While the village may not be done again, LEGO will likely make another bunker set, or other Endor set with many if not all of the figures from the 249.99 USD set.
If the figures are re-done in other sets then you may not see this set rise that much. I still think it will rise. It is a SW set and collectors will want every set regardless but if LEGO reintroduces another Endor set after the Village is done then I do not see it rising by leaps and bounds.
Now for the Big Bang Theory larger vignette set. .. Any idea when this is supposed to come out?
Ghostbusters will do well i think and the cantina is a no brainer.again snow plough but if they do bring a new one out,it will take a few years to hit 45.
60051: High-Speed Passenger Train
That said,
You cannot go wrong with a passenger train if it is only 95 USD, I just would not get many.
The powerfunctions and track alone are $95.
I agree if the Ferris Wheel is coming out this year (and the Mixer goes EOL now and not in another year) should make the Mixer more desirable I think. It really is a nice set, and I think most have an issue with the price (and no discounts in the US) and not the set itself (other than maybe lack of baseplate). I just hope if it is like the Mixer, with a bunch of little booths with it, that LEGO starts to put a 48x48 base plate in the next set which would help justify the 149.99 USD price tag IMO.
Sometimes those double negatives wrap me around the axle. :wink:
If I took my daughter to the Lego Store (or most children for that matter ) their first pick wouldn't be RI. I would also hazzard a guess that if I lined up every Lego set in the $15-30 range, RI STILL wouldn't be a top pick for ANY child. This is just an inference of course and the only way to prove it is to actually test it :)
Yes and no, if you were to read back through this thread over the last few years FB is a winner and TH a dog, obviously with the way things have ended up it appears that this is not the case. Although I wouldn't be surprised if in say 5 years FB goes for more than TH (Not saying it will, I just wouldn't be surprised)
My main point was that it is pretty hard to pick a winner just on how "good" or "popular" a set is while in production. These two things obviously give you a good starting point but too many other factors come in to play and it seems that more importantly it is how long a set is out and how quick it disappears.
This may be good or bad for the Ghostbusters Ideas set.
While I have a general idea about what Lego products my kids like, it's usually a good idea to get more specifics before actually parting with my cash.
It's already gone.
This guy knows what he's talking about. I strongly believe that the no-discount policy on exclusives is at least partially meant to protect secondary market prices. Lego appreciates the secondary market because it adds cachet to the brand. However if the after market becomes over saturated it can potentially diminish the perceived value of the product.
Viewpoint 1
AKA, the TH (Town Hall) viewpoint, where a set is EOL'd overnight with little or no warning. Lots of people kicking themselves for missing out.
Viewpoint 2
AKA, the FB (Fire Brigade) viewpoint, where a set is EOL'd after two years of discussion about when it will be EOL'd. Less self kicking, but a lot more sweating and angst regarding said set's aftermarket potential.
Viewpoint 3
AKA, the DS (Death Star) viewpoint, where posters are trying with all their might to will a set to be EOL'd. Said poster has usually started kicking themselves again due to the set's overabundance in said poster's closet.
As far as I can tell, the PS seems to currently be in 2nd Viewpoint (the FB viewpoint)...