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Can still be had at 20% off from retailers , 3+ months after [email protected] EOL.
Is there any definite knowledge as of now?
Paralleling LOTR and SH here. I find it interesting that Weathertop is sold out but no other LOTR set has. There is always a set or two that retires just a tad earlier before the rest of the wave.
Who will be that first early retiree for SH?
Otherwise #6864 Two-Face Chase (for the batmobile) and #6866 (for the Magneto / Wolverine figs) would be my other choices for a bit of 'value' from 2012. And #76001 Bat vs Bane and #76005 Daily Bugle are the best of the 2013 sets imho so far. Are too many Iron Man sets is going to hurt the price of those figs in the long run?
Most of the series have been discounted heavily in the UK (40%ish) at some point but I don't see massive returns on any of these in the short-term.
^And yes on the Iron Man sets. There are some differences with his arc pattern torso which helps. However, he is the most popular Super Hero for kids besides Batman, so these sets could all triple by Xmas 2014 or 2015.
Of course, I fail to mention the "Hero Factory" style SH sets. Most, if not all, are retired. Of course, Iron Man is already at 3x above retail. I was an idiot for not realizing that would be a good one.
Unless Wonder Woman and Lex Luthor are more popular than I think... I'm really not a DC guy.
The only money maker - imo - is Darth Malgus who will definitely fetch a nice price.
I disagree with your statement "Nobody wants it now so why would they bother later on.." Overall most people think it's a great model with nice minifigs. It's just the price that is holding people back.
The market for it is far, far smaller than TIE Fighter, so when that one goes, it should do much better.
TIE Defender had the same problem, it was a model from a computer game that was never seen in the movies, so the market was quite limited. It also had a lousy price per part.
The ship is fine, but unless you have to have every Star Wars Lego set, the casual Star Wars Lego fan will probably pass. I only picked up one because it was on sale for $49 and some change. I only bought 2 Tie Defenders as well. The Micro Machines Action Fleet Tie Defender is a rare set and has collectability, but I'm not sure the Lego version will be...ever.
The TIE Defender, as much as I loved it in the game (a TIE with torpedoes and shields!) was a crappy and fragile Lego design all around. You want apples and oranges? There's your pineapples and bananas.
Call it ridiculous if you like, but I think you've got a scenario where both were relatively unknown in release, and certainly weren't embraced immediately, only to end up warming shelves here and there. Will the Interceptor do well in the aftermarket? Roll the dice and see.
I hate hate hate hate it as a resell item for all the obvious reasons: only 3 figs on a $90 RRP set, only 1 of which is named and he is a NPC in an MMO, not present in films/tv shows. The set isn't iconic to the general populace and star wars fans, so where's the market for this set 2-3+ years down the road? I don't see much of one.
And yes, comparing it to the initial offering in what has since become the quintessential AFOL collector series is absolutely ludicrous. This ship doesn't have the potential to become anywhere near that: It's not going to be the "first" of any collection, it's not even part of a series of anything, unless you count EVERY LEGO star wars set made. Someone coming new into the hobby isn't likely up to that challenge and expense, and I suspect it would be pretty far down the collection list for SW fans who want to start collecting LEGO sets a year or two from now. So again, it's a pretty limited aftermarket appeal.
9500 is a great set to buy at a discount and have fun building, but it has almost no resale potential unless you get it for 50% off.
It has never been below RRP on any of the European Amazon sites although it's been out for nearly 9 months now. Is it likely to be on a sale at some point?
ETA: oops, I just saw that you are not US based
As for the 'rare figures' well Lets see if LEGO does not re-release the fig in another set in the future.
The 'original 3' movie related toys will always outsell the new series because of the sentimentality (especially by the parents, ie money holders), which is sorely lacking in the ADHD age, IMO.
Kids forget the 'must have set' in lieu of the next big thing.
Check the recent SW sets that were around 100 bucks at RRP, or worse yet, 50, (How is #7752 doing?) and how many of them have gone crazy? Not many, and the ones that start rising usually wind up being redone as a later edition model (See Sith Infiltrator, or Grieveous Starfighter) which makes earlier version plummet, OR they put the figures (which most people want) into other sometimes cheaper sets. More than likely a Mod is not getting re-done.
So, sure I'll take 'crappy' creator sets, you know: Emerald Nights, Maersk Trains, Cafe Corners, Green Grocers, and even the much maligned FB, over SW line which will either kill itself or keep re-doing everything until there is no market left.
You are also quite mistaken that I'm trying to compare the Interceptor with the Cafe Corner of 2013. I said that the Cafe Corner was not all that hot when it was on the shelves, nor was the Creator line anything to be all excited about back in 2007. Sure people bought it, but only a very astute few saw it then as the game changer that it truly was.
Also, you actually thought I was trashing the Cafe Corner by listing it's shortcomings? I actually love the set, and was being sarcastic for the sake of comparison. And yes, Creator of 2007 vs. 2013 was another comparison. Creator pre-2007 was quite bland. All the wonderful sets you mention came out after, so they don't really enter in. They, along with the modulars, were actually part of what elevated Creator to the level it is at today.
So basically, a person in 2007 looking at Cafe Corner didn't have a lot of basis or precedence to actually see the solid gold that was sitting on the shelf in front of them. They were looking at a set that either appealed to them or it didn't, and they bought it based on that criteria alone.
If I'm going to take anything personally, It'll be your comment about the "much maligned" FB, which I think is the 2nd best modular there is behind the GG. But I'm not, and I'm cool with your opinion of it :)
The Slave I #8097 (retired last year) has begun appreciating, that is, it is slowly being sold for near RRP prices. If only the same could also apply to #10215 :D
If anything CC reminded people that yes LEGO sets do get discontinued and do not last forever.
I did not trash FB; a lot of people do though. I still think that despite of its numbers it will still be popular after EOL as it has great colors, a garage door and it is a Fire Dept after all.