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I've only been selling LEGOS for about 3 years, but in those 3 years I've never seen such demand, and an increase in price, for a set that has not EOL'd yet. So often they don't shoot up until they are EOL'd, even if they are a bit hard to find. So, given that it would not surprise me if MC sold for $150 6 months after it EOL's. And, even if it doesn't go that high it will still sell well over retail. It pretty much already does that.
What if it EOL's before Christmas next year? And, LEGO continues to under supply? And, is still as popular, or more popular, as it was a few months ago?
Now with Lego's growth in retail locations and the internet its a rare thing indeed. Lego also does a much better job of keeping ahead of the the market now.
Dwarves Mine 7036 was a good one back in the day too. X-Wing 6212 was a good flip here and there as they went OOS a lot. Republic Cruiser 7665 was a good flip early on. I'm sure I could think of a few more but those days are long gone. Way more variety of sets, vendors and supply exist now.
I got a notification yesterday that the set was in stock. Received my shipping notification today.
I would guess...
A) These are probably 3 of the most popular from the first wave
B) That LEGO is thinning their inventory of them in preparation for EOL this year. This way they don't have to have a fire sale in November to dump the rest of the stock.
It is also out of stock in the last 3 TLG stores I have visited.
I also ordered a Space Needle from S&H a couple of days ago and got a dispatch email today!
But of course, if they get scarce, like anything else, price goes up, even if demand is slow and steady.
and Now the Minecraft at [email protected] is showing as 'Temporarily out of stock'
Also the Post office is set to call to check for product availability if someone desperately wanted one (and cannot wait until next year)
It's a nice advantage for those who live near stores with inventory left. My store sold out before New Years
Kinda wish I could have gotten them for 80, but I would have had to pay near 90 bucks after tax by me anyway plus gas to get there and back... getting them from Amazon was actually most cost effective actually.
The Frisco store is great too. I really like the manager (Gail) and employees, but the store is extremely busy and almost 1/2 the size of the Nashville store. I always seem to hit the Frisco store during the monthly build, so that probably doesn't help much.
But all the stores I've ever been to are great...Lego runs a very good business.
Anyone know if LEGO still offers the service packs?
Question is, keep for a few more years or list for say $2800 and run with the dough? Buy an acrylic case and list for $5000?
I have a copy of the set that I Bricklink'd back before the essential part prices went crazy, so I will eventually get around to building the set one day.
should be in 'Post your recent great finds!'
These will do very well next season if they're not re-released (sneaking suspicion they may be), but at £40 a pop they've still got plenty of value in them either way. However if they are re-released then it would be difficult to see new sets added as they've covered all of the main monsters really so makes sense it is a one off series.
I grabbed 8 when they were £40 last year, just thinking of topping up a bit more, several reasons, those above and the fact ive just shifted my last hogwarts so this was down as my "next" castle to stockpile....
Talking myself into at least 2 more I think :)
I doubt it will last as long as SW, but lets hope it does, id love to see a few more lotr exclusives in the next couple of years
1) Is this a good resell set? I can't help but think it's stellar. It's a beautiful building (the brickwork alone is gorgeous), full of fun, very detailed interior, very good ppp, includes a vehicle, receives high (near-perfect) marks in most reviews and even had a hidden bat. What's not to love about this set?
2) Why has this been $119 at Amazon for as long as it has (a few weeks now)? Maybe people are tired of it, or do not see the value. Maybe there are a billion of these things in warehouses.
3) When will it EOL? I've been hearing it nearing, if not simply being, EOL for at least 6 months, yet here we are with brand new sets well below RRP at amazon, and apparently fully in stock most other places as well.
To answer the questions:
1. It will be, but not as good as it once could have been. It has been out twice as long as the prior modular to retire (Green Grocer) and it has been discounted many times, as low as $100 a copy at times.
2. They are indeed selling well at Amazon at that price, but I suspect many are being bought by part time resellers, which will put hundreds, if not thousands of copies of this set in reseller hands. Yes, I think at this point, thousands of this set are set aside for resale. Not in warehouses, but in bedroom closets.
3. Who the heck knows. It is more than a year over-due for EOL, it should have gone Christmas 2011, so now it appears it will be around for 4 years if it EOLs Chrismas 2013.
Goes to show that Lego could charge cheaper prices for sets if they wanted to if they are willing to keep these sets in production.
When I first saw the fire brigade in pictures, catalogues etc it looked amazing. Not necessarily as evoking as 10182 but very special, it was a WOW moment. Looking at it now a few years later and having seen a few in the flesh I'm much less impressed. Within the context of more recent releases both in the modular range and, perhaps more importantly, outside of the modular range such as the Haunted House, it just looks really really blocky. Especially compared to the Palace Cinema it's really 'square'. Of course, its not a corner, its a more traditional style etc etc. But to me it definitely looks like its lost some of its lustre without doing anything - just because its competition has raised the bar. It hasn't aged well - imo.
Standing in a Lego Shop with the option of buying Fire Brigade, Town Hall or the Palace Cinema? Well FB's got price on its side especially against the TH but if the RRP of Palace Cinema stays as advertised then its a simple decision and I'd walk away with the cinema (knowing that i might not be able to get FB 12 months from now might change that).
What has happened to it? Did TLG create a second run/extent its life because of such good sales or because of the bad bags? Presumably they have done something, it was talked about being EOL, out of stock online etc about two years ago. If they have, and continuing stock in store, online and at other retailers suggest they must have, then that must have a potentially massive impact on future sales, far more than resellers stocking up. Its been out for three and half years and no signs of it going. Potential buyers have had longer to pick one up, theres far more supply etc.
Do resellers have millions of them stashed away? I'm not the person to answer that but reading comments here over the last twelve months makes me believe its got to be one of, if not the most, stashed away 'big' set. Its at a price where people can afford to buy multiples and in some cases many many multiples. Its probably the first modular thats been around where the massive money to be made from CC has been understood, its been threatened to go EOL a number of times, its been discounted a fair amount.
I can't see people loosing money, or coming close to that, its a good set with a good value RRP, but for all the above I don't see it doing particularly well after EOL - whenever that is. And given how long some people must have been holding on to these, with their money tied up, its not going to be a particularly good investment.
Of course, all the above could be rubbish
Perhaps we need a new forum section on "retired/retiring sets" and allow specific discussions of specific sets/themes in there instead of merging everything into what has become a single, very-formidable-to-read thread for anyone new.