Please use our links: LEGO.com • Amazon
Brickset.com is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, the Amazon.com.ca, Inc. Associates Program and the Amazon EU Associates Programme, which are affiliate advertising programs designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to Amazon.
As an Amazon Associate we earn from qualifying purchases.
With #10231 the US [email protected] has it as expected delivery from the 2nd Jan 2013, the AUS [email protected] is still listed as Sold Out. I wonder if Lego has one last lot left in a US warehouse and is just not shipping at the moment to concentrate selling other more current sets for Christmas.
I do have a few 10231's. Was quite dissapointed today when I opened an Amazon parcel and thought I had ordered another one earlier in the week but it turned out to be the Technic Supercar! I honestly could not have told you what was in the parcel!
You can still get the 10231 from Pixmania but i have never purchased from these and just don't feel comfortable doing so. Don't know why, just got to go with your gut feeling sometimes.
It's actually pretty easy to figure out what will be sought after in the future. As has been said earlier in the thread, the hard part is predicting the actions of other resellers. I try to keep a shortlist of the best deals ever available for the highly desirable sets, to try and get a floor on what other sellers will likely list them for. Also this year I have been looking very closely at exclusion lists for sales that stores run. In a way I use the Toys R Us exclusion list as a sort of reverse shopping list. Ninjago and Friends are almost always excluded. What does this tell us? It says to me that there is such strong demand for those themes they can easily sell them all at RRP or above.
As an Australian reseller (sorry Basta, this country aint big enough for the two of us /jk) most reseller oversatured sets are impossible to make money on currently. Despite fire brigade having an RRP here of $299.99 I can't compete with the international sellers. So instead of the safe bets like modulars and other exclusives, Im stocking up on different stuff. You guessed it, I'm following the exclusion lists and getting lots of Ninjago and some of the key wave one Friends sets. Last Christmas I had a few expensive sets up (modulars, mmv and the like) and I never really made any money. This year has been a great success mainly on the back of Ninjago and Minecraft.
Now I must stress not ALL Ninjago is good. The first wave was a lot weaker than the second and left a bad taste in the mouth of resellers and quite possibly Lego themselves. From what I have gathered, please correct me if Im wrong, Lego decided to end Ninjago in 2013, before they had a decent chance to see the fanstastic wave 2 sales figures. Every parent I have spoken to has been shocked that Ninjago will be ending shortly andI was quite surprised myself. But before one can make money from Ninjago one must understand Ninjago.
Ninjago is a very story driven theme with a huge emphasis on the minifigs. Everyone wants a full set of the figs it seems. Lego also obviously know this, spreading the figs between every set so you have to buy them all. As you all know already the 4 or 5 ninjas all have different versions. Some common and boring, some highly sought after. With the DX and ZX spinners were often good buys if you could get them early and sell while they were red hot. Kendo versions were never worth it. However the problem with these DX and ZX versions is Lego always later stuck them in a set along with others and a vehicle, instantly devaluing your stock. Which brings me to my main point.
Lego has created the perfect storm with NRG versions.
1) I can honestly say they are among the coolest if not the coolest non licensed figures ever.
2) Not a single version is available in an actual building set. Spinners only.
3) The spinners were underproduced, with quite a short shelf life.
Now I know that Chima comes out next year and that it is supposed be 30% more successful than Ninjago (lol). But does anyone really believe that? I can see Chima driving a whole generation of older Ninjago fans into their dark ages.
It is selling really, really well, only a crazy insane company kills such a product.
Just food for thought...
And yes, the NRG spinners are clearly the ones to have, some of those are doing crazy numbers.
I also agree, it does seem crazy insane to kill such a line, but they truly seem to be thinking that Chima will be even that much more popular than Ninjago. With that sort of mentality, yes... I do see them capable of killing Ninjago completely and this being the last wave. To me it would be smart to hedge their bets, and create a few items for next fall, but again, I'm not convinced they would do even that, if they are that convinced Chima will be 30% more in sales.
I could be wrong with this Ninjago thing. But I have tied up probably 50% of my reselling budget on it. I'm planning to go in pretty hard with the 3rd "Final Battle" wave too. I can see Lego making a paltry amount so that they aren't stuck with them when Chima rolls out and takes its shelf space.
Nostalgia always works the same way, just for different things!
*please note I am not suggesting the holding of Ninjago sets 12 or more years for resale.
Anyone who has missed this, that is the deal to buy!
Dont think I am a threat to any one, I may annoy some sellers as I generaly list at the low end of what other Australian sellers are listing thier items at, but i'm not selling much, few items a week. I try to buy low and flip it as soon as I get it, so I only get select sets. I dont keep most of what Im selling for more then 4 weeks.
Although today I got 3 x #10216 Winter Village Bakery (One for personal use) and that was from a local B&M store (Myer) for $62.95, this will be one set I will be sitting on for the time being as it is only selling for around $90 on AUS eBay atm, but as it appears to be gone from all major online stores globally and sold out on all [email protected] sites, I could not pass up the opportunity. I also have an extra #10225 R2-D2 that I'm not selling, mostly because I did not get it for a great price.
Am I assured of being able to get them in January/February, or are any of them expected to be gone?
As for $200, yes, it will easily do that in the after market. But of course once you put fees and shipping on there, it isn't as pretty, but still worth doing.
The bigger question is... When will it EOL? I thought it was going out this year, but I could be mistaken.