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Predictions on Discontinuing Sets and their Secondary Market Value

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Comments

  • dragonhawkdragonhawk USMember Posts: 633

    I think MF will do very well.

    The Zombies are my best buddies ;)
  • Pitfall69Pitfall69 0 miles to Legoboy's houseMember Posts: 11,444
    I stayed away from the train. The Vampyre Castle, The Zombies and The Haunted House should do very well.
  • Penkid11Penkid11 Member Posts: 789
    Now what about #850487 Halloween Accessory Pack?
  • Pitfall69Pitfall69 0 miles to Legoboy's houseMember Posts: 11,444
    ^As far as an investment, no...but it may do as well as the Castle Battle packs.
  • lulwutlulwut Member Posts: 417
    edited December 2012
    SSD is going to be a hit in the long run. It's unique in that it's one of the biggest SW sets released to date. Everyone is going to want that when the SSD is longer produced.
  • SpaceCakeSpaceCake Member Posts: 291
    edited December 2012
    What is all this talk of MF going EOL?

    It feels like it's only been around for about six months... Is the global stock just taking a thrashing due to Christmas, perhaps? Or is it truly disappearing altogether (so soon!)?
  • SiESiE Member Posts: 238
    SpaceCake said:

    What is all this talk of MF going EOL?

    It feels like it's only been around for about six months... Is the global stock just taking a thrashing due to Christmas, perhaps? Or is it truly disappearing altogether (so soon!)?

    Its been out for 16 months so I guess its out for at least another year seeing as it is a falcon.
  • roxioroxio UKMember Posts: 1,370
    edited December 2012
    ^ @SiE , I think @Spacecake was talking about Monster Fighters theme, not the Falcon
  • SpaceCakeSpaceCake Member Posts: 291
    roxio said:

    ^ @SiE , I think @Spacecake was talking about Monster Fighters theme, not the Falcon

    Sorry for the confusion. I was indeed referring to the Monster Fighters lineup!

  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    The Falcon is indeed going out this year, MF may well have another year left in it.
  • SiESiE Member Posts: 238
    already, wow. I only have 4 =( Will have to get buying!

    Sounds like a contender for boxing day sales then.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,923
    Not so fast. Specialty trains like the Toy Story one haven't done well. Let's not bring up the Time Twisters train. Regular Lego train hobbyists won't generally be interested.

    At discount to part out - yes good deal. I wouldn't touch the GT for anything less than 35% off.
  • kim43235kim43235 Member Posts: 165
    I've been wondering about future of mini modular after EOL. I stocked up some when they had a sale during Christmas. What's your opinion about this set? TIA
  • ViereViere Member Posts: 12

    The Falcon is indeed going out this year, MF may well have another year left in it.

    SiE said:

    already, wow. I only have 4 =( Will have to get buying!

    Sounds like a contender for boxing day sales then.

    On Lego.com it says it will be back in stock in January 2013
  • mathewmathew Member Posts: 2,098
    kim43235 said:

    I've been wondering about future of mini modular after EOL. I stocked up some when they had a sale during Christmas. What's your opinion about this set? TIA

    I have a theory that they will EOL when FB and GE do.
  • DiggydoesDiggydoes Cologne/GermanyMember Posts: 1,079
    prevere said:

    Not so fast. Specialty trains like the Toy Story one haven't done well. Let's not bring up the Time Twisters train. Regular Lego train hobbyists won't generally be interested.

    At discount to part out - yes good deal. I wouldn't touch the GT for anything less than 35% off.

    Found them for 45€ (instead of 80€ RRP) i guess that´s ok?!
  • Steve_J_OMSteve_J_OM IrelandMember Posts: 982
    Finally decided to take the plunge on MMV before it's too late. I'll take the risk that FB and GE will continue into 2013.

    It's sold out on [email protected] (European store) but I managed to snag it on Amazon.fr for around €10 cheaper. I checked Amazon.co.uk and Amazon.it first and they only have them from third-party sellers above RRP.
  • legoprodslegoprods SpainMember Posts: 445
    @Steve_J_OM

    With all the fuzz about this set, everyone and their brother (and their son) probably has already stored a couple, if not more.

    I think that, on this set, the gain will be mainly determined on how good a discount you got on it, and not by the price it sells, at least for a few years.

    That said... thanks, I just picked up one, I though they were OOS everywhere :)
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,923
    The value of MMV is tremendous. There will be a million copies out there, but a lot of people will be happy with selling and buying $200 for it. And it should hit that price quickly.

    The price on parts heading into to 2013 is what, 13 cents per piece, on average, right? LFT noted that awhile back as prices started to creep.

    So if MMV were released today, it would be priced at $203.45 - with inflation. Enough said.
  • Steve_J_OMSteve_J_OM IrelandMember Posts: 982
    @legoprods, my post probably didn't belong in this thread, the set is all for me and not for resale :) I guess the only on-topic element of my post is the fact that it is OOS on the European [email protected]
  • FurrysaurusFurrysaurus Hiding in the kitchen.Member Posts: 156
    edited December 2012
    sell or hold original 7785 arkham asylum?

    i've been sitting on this for a few years, but now that i'm getting rid of my storage unit, i'm toying with putting it out on bricklink. coupled with the new one coming out next year, anyone care to guess if the that the market on the original asylum will tank?
  • richoricho Member Posts: 3,830
    this isn't really a marketplace thread, but yes, generally the value falls significantly once a re-make comes out.
  • prevereprevere North of Bellville, East of Heartlake, South of Bricksburg, West of Ninjago City Member Posts: 2,923

    i've been sitting on this for a few years, but now that i'm getting rid of my storage unit, i'm toying with putting it out on bricklink. coupled with the new one coming out next year, anyone care to guess if the that the market on the original asylum will tank?

    Sell it. Just sold mine on eBay for $345 (no box). However, the new Batman sets are not as strong as the first ones. First wave Batman sets are holding their value for the most part.
  • FatMattFatMatt USMember Posts: 502
    ^It's okay, we don't discriminate in this thread. OT comments are welcome.
  • FurrysaurusFurrysaurus Hiding in the kitchen.Member Posts: 156
    ^^ yeah, it probably should have been in the topics thread, but if someone wants to make a fair offer, then it suddenly becomes marketplace :) (or something like that - let me save face!)
  • VaderXVaderX Member Posts: 220
    edited December 2012
    MMV is a very great set for parts, the cows alone are generally worth $15-20.

    Crown knights have been off the market for how long? This set will do very well due to the parts value not generally as a whole set.

    This was the set that brought me and many others out of the 'dark ages'
    Chang405chrisdojo
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 20,004
    VaderX said:

    MMV is a very great set for parts, the cows alone are generally worth $15-20.

    $4-6 on bricklink, depending on whether you buy the horns from the same seller.
    madforLEGO
  • sheppshepp Member Posts: 13
    The old arkham asylumn? Bah, that's worth less than the air it occupies now. I think you should just ship it to me and I can dispose of it properly. I'll even let you pay the shipping too :D


    Honestly, if you're thinking of getting the new one, hold off on selling the old. Assemble them both and do a photo comparison of features and details. Pros and cons of each. Then sell the one you like the least. I know you won't get as much money out of either one, but you'll be more satisfied with the one in your possession. And you'll be providing a nice service for those who have never seen the sets side by side.

    Or if you're like me, get them both and then just add the old set onto the new one.
  • drdavewatforddrdavewatford Hertfordshire, UKAdministrator Posts: 6,706
    I'm certainly hoping that prices of the old set fall when the new one appears, but I'm not holding my breath...!
  • LegofanscottLegofanscott Member Posts: 622
    edited December 2012
    Still amazes me how much these sets make, was it all down to no one buying them for resale?
  • flyingpigflyingpig Member Posts: 119
    Wait, why is the Millennium Falcon going out this year? It should be back in stock in Jan, according to [email protected] It was around for quite a while last time.
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    flyingpig said:

    Wait, why is the Millennium Falcon going out this year? It should be back in stock in Jan, according to [email protected] It was around for quite a while last time.

    I was told it was EOL this year.

    Perhaps my source was wrong?
  • CCCCCC UKMember Posts: 20,004
    It can't disappear. No ship that small has a cloaking device….
    sadowsk1Bumblepants
  • BillybrownBillybrown UKMember Posts: 748
    CCC said:

    It can't disappear. No ship that small has a cloaking device….

    MF will reappear for most of 2013 as soon as it hits warp 9.8
    "Captain shes going to de-cloak"

  • dragonhawkdragonhawk USMember Posts: 633
    CCC said:

    It can't disappear. No ship that small has a cloaking device….

    Yeah, I just got a funny feeling. Like I'm never gonna see her again.
    sadowsk1
  • LegoFanTexasLegoFanTexas TexasMember Posts: 8,409
    Form up, we could run out of space real fast.
  • y2joshy2josh Member Posts: 2,002
    ^Come on now. That was Wedge. And there was a 'Stay alert' in the middle of that. You must not like Return of the Jedi or something...
  • Renegade007cjhRenegade007cjh Essex, UKMember Posts: 694
    If I remember correctly, this set had a very limited shelf life... I ordered my copy from [email protected] the day it became available and before I knew it, they were no longer on there. Just checked the Brickset database - in the US it looks to have been available for just 6 months in 2006, so may have been the case here in the UK too...

    The market does seem to have changed a lot in the past six years... admittedly I wasn't even aware of LUGs or AFOLs or anything like that back then, but there didn't seem to be this trend for buying up multiple sets (whether on discount or not) with a view to making a few quid and I definitely don't remember seeing very many Baman sets on eBay back then.

    Back on topic... when I checked up on the price of these a couple of years ago, I seem to remember them going for upwards of £500, but now it seems to be about half that. It's still a nice set though and - still to this day - the only place to get Nightwing!!
  • richoricho Member Posts: 3,830
    ^ that is true, these seemed to peak around £500, where as its around £300 now. I reckon it will be around £200-£250 when the new ones out. This seems to have happened with some of the older Hogwarts castles.
  • cloaked7cloaked7 Member Posts: 1,448
    Someone call me? Oh.... You said 'cloaking'. I'll go back to my nap. :-)
  • Bosstone100Bosstone100 USAMember Posts: 1,434
    There's only one return... and it's of the Jedi.

    Clerks 2 reference in case anyone was wondering.
  • Pitfall69Pitfall69 0 miles to Legoboy's houseMember Posts: 11,444
    edited December 2012

    CCC said:

    It can't disappear. No ship that small has a cloaking device….


    MF will reappear for most of 2013 as soon as it hits warp 9.8
    "Captain shes going to de-cloak"

    You can't mix Star Wars with Star Trek. What's the matter with you?
    chrisdojo
  • Pitfall69Pitfall69 0 miles to Legoboy's houseMember Posts: 11,444
    edited December 2012
    Millennium Falcon scheduled to go already? That's "MF" fast man.
  • BastaBasta Australia Member Posts: 1,259
    edited December 2012
    Price on #9450 Epic Dragon Battle is high in Australia right now $185 - $200+(Granted AU RRP is $199) but compared to the $83 shipped I paid for last week from Amazon.co.uk I wish I had ordered more then 3.

    The question will be what price it will settle at directly after Christmas. I would assume it will stay relatively high for at least a few weeks, people spending Christmas money etc. I will be happy if I can sell them for $150.
  • pharmjodpharmjod 1,170 miles to Wall Drug, USAMember Posts: 2,916
    Both epic dragon battle and the mine are back in stock at amazon.com regular price. that should put a dent in prices for a while.
  • flyingpigflyingpig Member Posts: 119
    Just in time for Christmas!
  • gmpirategmpirate Member Posts: 1,654
    Woah, just sold my last Mine today too! Great timing all around with that set. With all the sets I have sitting around waiting to EOL its nice to have something work out on a timely manner :)
  • legoprodslegoprods SpainMember Posts: 445
    @Basta I got a bunch of them at about 60€ shipped. Already slowly letting them go at 90€, but will hold a couple in case they go up pretty high next year with the Chima sets.

    And also, the almost invisible #10231 is Sold Out in Lego stores in Europe, and our of amazon Europe. If you want to get a copy of those, you should now, as it is already going to the hundreds on Bricklink, but eBay is much lower.
  • flyingpigflyingpig Member Posts: 119
    #10231 shuttle expedition is awesome. Definitely deserves more attention, as did the shuttle program. Its been around for 16 months or so? S&H will have more stock in Jan. Hmm. I'd hope they'd make enough of them to keep it around a few more months.
    Ma1234
  • flyingpigflyingpig Member Posts: 119
    Also, SSD down to 310 at wallyworld, down from 320.
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