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Also, we shouldn't ignore all possible marketplaces and should allow for a single example to override the average experience for the purpose of settling the bet. (now I think we hit all the topics) :)
I'm not able to buy all the sets I want whenever I like (like many I imagine!), so how long I've got left to get hold of a set as expensive as this is important. When choosing which sets to buy, how likely it is that I'll be able to get it again if I pass on it now is a huge factor.
Hence I'm not at all annoyed at GE retiring, I should have known it was coming and I had had plenty long enough to get it; but I'm aggrieved at TH because even if I had been paying attention I'd still have missed it.
4 years may not be normal for LEGO, but it FB and GE have stretched to that, PS will reach it, so adding in that until now the sets have all been retired in the same order in which they were released I'd say it's reasonable to assume 4 years is now normal for modulars.
It is the same reason I bought R2-D2 in August. I asked the question back in May what folks thought of retirement and the general answer was not this year... But I still felt that it was on the danger zone, so I bought before October 2x points, since this was the top request from my son for Christmas. The risk of waiting seemed to great.
He had 2 or 3 for each
Granted, most big sets are more than 1 year, but look at HH, it went after 2 years...
I think the 4 years of FB is abnormal, they can't keep that up, they'd have 50 skus of $150+ products...
If you like a set, buy it, some go away after 6 months after all...
Again, I'm only talking about what is reasonable to expect given TLG's behaviour, and I know I called it wrong, but for two years they had five out together with TH in the middle of them. Hindsight makes many things seem more obvious than they were.
And hey, I got a TH off eBay for a silly price, but not as silly as some and not as silly as it's likely to get, so I guess I'm happy in the end, if not a little poorer. :)
for those who missed out, next time you see a set you want simply buy it. IF TLG called your bluff, and retired TH early... you had 2 years.
still a few down here in Oz. I them in a few stores over the weekend.
And the number of releases in that range is generally rising year on year over that period.
May be other Hamlys shops still have it .Hopes it help someone
The #10155 Maersk Line Container Ship is a perfect example of this as I can well attest. It came out in January 2011 (in the USA) and I wanted to purchase it; however, I decided to wait until double VIP points in October to get it. Alas, it was gone by July.
If you look closely, you will see that the only sets included in the picture on the back of the box are the #10232 Palace Cinema, #10243 Parisian Restaurant, and #10246 Detective Agency modulars. Maybe it's nothing or maybe it's another nail in TH's proverbial coffin.
And @Farmer_John, TH's coffin is already fully nailed and buried.
But as "if you have the money" is quite a significant condition to most people, and "if you really want it" is highly subjective and when combined with all the other things you may want becomes complicated, forgive me for not removing my palm from my face. :)
If you don't have the money, fine... But that isn't what the comments were aiming at. If you have the money, buy it. If you don't, then don't worry about it.
I actually can buy it. I have not done so because at $200 it doesn't interest me. Sure, if I could get one for less, I might want it, but as it stands, I likely won't get one, it will retire someday and go up in price.
I still won't want it at that new higher price, so I'm not missing out on anything.
Here's just one link that I found doing a quick search on Brickset:
Now having the funds to purchase one of the larger sets is another discussion...
Here's proof that I got mine at a reasonable price. This was 2 years before TH started selling out everywhere.
That said, I echo that 2.5 years of general availability for Town Hall is quite standard. The belief that modulars are centerpiece sets with longer production runs or will retire in the order they were introduced are self-made constructs.